Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MT-01 House election by 3%-6%?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$2.5K
122 trades
Smart Whales
14
of 63 traders
MT-01 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $30.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
8 YESvs6 NO
57%43%
57% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 95% YES by dollars · 8 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $40 is directional: YES $39·NO $2YES Team
Total Invested
$39
Avg Win Rate
63.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$38(-99.4%)
Whales
8
B
Baggy-Forehead-Consistency🥇
Entry 8¢·385 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
$-29
$-29INV $30 · WR 62.1%
F
fkpa🥈
Entry 17¢·25 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
62.2%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $4 · WR 62.2%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 8¢·40 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $3 · WR 71.9%
E
e46m3
Entry 8¢·7.2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 79.2%
L
lpgb
Entry 8¢·7 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
71.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 71.6%
P
probability◆Proven
Entry 8¢·5.3 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 61.1%
P
ProvidingExitLiq
Entry 1¢·20 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
64.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 64.0%
R
RayGuy
Entry 0¢·20 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 56.4%
NO Team
Total Invested
$181
Avg Win Rate
87.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$38(+21.2%)
Whales
6
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 82¢·143.5 shares
Invested
$118
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $118 · WR 87.7%
G
godblessme2026🥈
Entry 81¢·33 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $27 · WR 87.9%
Q
qwen300.fund🥉
Entry 85¢·30 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $26 · WR 86.1%
P
plainfolder
Entry 84¢·10 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $8 · WR 86.1%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 91¢·2.1 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 66.7%
N
northdrawer
Entry 17¢·1 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $0 · WR 87.5%
Smart Whale Trades
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