Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MT-01 House election by 6%-9%?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$1.8K
90 trades
Smart Whales
14
of 52 traders
MT-01 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $30.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs8 NO
43%57%
57% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 92% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $60 is directional: YES $55·NO $5YES Team
Total Invested
$55
Avg Win Rate
64.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$55(-99.4%)
Whales
6
B
Baggy-Forehead-Consistency🥇
Entry 8¢·385 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
$-29
$-29INV $30 · WR 62.1%
P
probability◆Proven🥈
Entry 8¢·140 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $11 · WR 61.1%
S
sweetj🥉
Entry 13¢·74 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $10 · WR 72.2%
B
balthazar
Entry 8¢·40 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $3 · WR 71.9%
L
lpgb
Entry 8¢·16.8 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
71.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 71.6%
E
e46m3
Entry 8¢·7.2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 79.2%
NO Team
Total Invested
$204
Avg Win Rate
86.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$57(+28.0%)
Whales
8
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 72¢·143.5 shares
Invested
$103
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$40
+$40INV $103 · WR 87.7%
Q
quietparcel🥈
Entry 92¢·33 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $30 · WR 88.5%
Q
qwen300.fund🥉
Entry 84¢·30 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $25 · WR 86.1%
I
Icy-Hedge-Shout
Entry 83¢·27 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
83.0%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $22 · WR 83.0%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 86¢·10 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $9 · WR 86.6%
N
northdrawer
Entry 78¢·11 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $9 · WR 87.5%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 82¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $4 · WR 66.7%
G
garbagecollect4
Entry 80¢·1.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
68.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 68.4%
Smart Whale Trades
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