Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MT-01 House election by 3%-6%?
YES Price
97¢
97% implied
NO Price
3¢
3% implied
Volume
$6.3K
251 trades
Smart Whales
14
of 88 traders
MT-01 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $30.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs10 NO
29%71%
71% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 93% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $184 is directional: YES $170·NO $14YES Team
Total Invested
$170
Avg Win Rate
61.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$395(+232.0%)
Whales
4
P
probability◆Proven🥇
Entry 37¢·402.7 shares
Invested
$148
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
+$245
+$245INV $148 · WR 61.1%
C
Chungvicular◆Proven🥈
Entry 13¢·87.4 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
+$74
+$74INV $11 · WR 60.6%
T
tunatyler◆Proven🥉
Entry 12¢·70 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
59.1%
Position P&L
+$60
+$60INV $8 · WR 59.1%
I
i2dt◆Proven
Entry 14¢·20 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
72.8%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $3 · WR 72.8%
NO Team
Total Invested
$504
Avg Win Rate
70.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$487(-96.7%)
Whales
10
B
Baggy-Forehead-Consistency🥇
Entry 84¢·385 shares
Invested
$322
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
$-312
$-312INV $322 · WR 62.1%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 87¢·143.5 shares
Invested
$124
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-121
$-121INV $124 · WR 87.7%
Q
qwen300.fund🥉
Entry 85¢·30 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-25
$-25INV $25 · WR 86.1%
R
RayGuy
Entry 48¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $10 · WR 56.4%
P
plainfolder
Entry 87¢·10 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $9 · WR 86.1%
R
Roasted-Skyscraper-Imagination
Entry 82¢·5.5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
77.1%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $4 · WR 77.1%
B
balthazar
Entry 11¢·40 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $4 · WR 71.9%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 82¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $4 · WR 66.7%
L
lpgb
Entry 6¢·16.8 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
71.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 71.6%
N
northdrawer
Entry 14¢·1 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 87.5%
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 386ms