Politics22 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-04 House election by 0%-15%?
YES Price
4ยข
4% implied
NO Price
96ยข
96% implied
Volume
$311
36 trades
Smart Whales
6
of 24 traders
AR-04 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS ยท $24.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs5 NO
17%83%
83% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars ยท 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h โ no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides โ all $0 is directional: YES $0ยทNO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$0
Avg Win Rate
75.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$3(+2850.0%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$73
Avg Win Rate
84.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$67(+91.9%)
Whales
5
E
e46m3๐ฅ
Entry 50ยขยท40.1 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $20 ยท WR 79.6%
Q
quietparcel๐ฅ
Entry 50ยขยท40 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $20 ยท WR 88.7%
C
Chubby-Sideburns-Appetizer๐ฅ
Entry 50ยขยท36 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
81.5%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $18 ยท WR 81.5%
N
northdrawer
Entry 50ยขยท20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 ยท WR 87.7%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 50ยขยท10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $5 ยท WR 89.0%
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