Politics22 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-04 House election by 55% or more?
YES Price
1ยข
1% implied
NO Price
99ยข
99% implied
Volume
$491
50 trades
Smart Whales
7
of 26 traders
AR-04 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS ยท $24.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs6 NO
14%86%
86% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars ยท 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h โ no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides โ all $4 is directional: YES $4ยทNO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$4
Avg Win Rate
75.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$3(-85.6%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$73
Avg Win Rate
83.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$58(+79.5%)
Whales
6
E
e46m3๐ฅ
Entry 50ยขยท40.1 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $20 ยท WR 79.6%
C
Clever-Catalysis๐ฅ
Entry 96ยขยท14.5 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
82.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $14 ยท WR 82.0%
P
plainfolder๐ฅ
Entry 50ยขยท20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $10 ยท WR 86.0%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 50ยขยท20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $10 ยท WR 88.2%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 50ยขยท20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $10 ยท WR 89.0%
A
Aggressive-Compensation-Morsel
Entry 50ยขยท18 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
78.8%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $9 ยท WR 78.8%
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