Politics22 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-04 House election by 40%-45%?
YES Price
21ยข
21% implied
NO Price
79ยข
79% implied
Volume
$4.5K
167 trades
Smart Whales
6
of 48 traders
AR-04 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS ยท $24.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs5 NO
17%83%
83% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars ยท 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%
+0 new YES$0+7 new NO$350
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides โ all $2 is directional: YES $2ยทNO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$2
Avg Win Rate
75.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$1(+33.3%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$50
Avg Win Rate
82.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$29(+58.6%)
Whales
5
G
graynotebook19๐ฅ
Entry 50ยขยท40 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $20 ยท WR 89.3%
A
Aggressive-Compensation-Morsel๐ฅ
Entry 50ยขยท18 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
78.8%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $9 ยท WR 78.8%
G
Giant-Upper-Seat๐ฅ
Entry 50ยขยท18 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
80.7%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $9 ยท WR 80.7%
S
Scholarly-Trade
Entry 50ยขยท14.5 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
70.7%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $7 ยท WR 70.7%
P
plainfolder
Entry 50ยขยท10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $5 ยท WR 86.0%
Smart Whale Trades
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