Politics22 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-04 House election by 45%-50%?
YES Price
4ยข
4% implied
NO Price
96ยข
96% implied
Volume
$1.8K
59 trades
Smart Whales
9
of 33 traders
AR-04 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS ยท $24.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs8 NO
11%89%
89% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 2% YES by dollars ยท 1 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h โ no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides โ all $5 is directional: YES $0ยทNO $5YES Team
Total Invested
$0
Avg Win Rate
75.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$1(+1150.0%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$91
Avg Win Rate
82.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$73(+80.2%)
Whales
8
G
god83743894๐ฅ
Entry 58ยขยท50 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $29 ยท WR 85.7%
R
Revolving-Stimulus-Pride๐ฅ
Entry 50ยขยท36 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
80.3%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $18 ยท WR 80.3%
E
e46m3๐ฅ
Entry 50ยขยท18 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $9 ยท WR 79.6%
M
Mountainous-Inconvenience-Shout
Entry 50ยขยท18 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
83.3%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $9 ยท WR 83.3%
U
Ultimate-Yesterday-Dogsled
Entry 50ยขยท18 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
79.1%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $9 ยท WR 79.1%
Q
Quirky-Timber-Reform
Entry 50ยขยท14.5 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
92.7%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $7 ยท WR 92.7%
N
northdrawer
Entry 50ยขยท10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $5 ยท WR 87.7%
J
JonnyAโProven
Entry 87ยขยท5.2 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
64.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $5 ยท WR 64.1%
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 2200ms