Politics22 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-04 House election by 15%-25%?
YES Price
4ยข
4% implied
NO Price
96ยข
96% implied
Volume
$1.3K
77 trades
Smart Whales
8
of 37 traders
AR-04 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS ยท $24.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs7 NO
13%88%
88% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars ยท 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h โ no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides โ all $1 is directional: YES $1ยทNO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$1
Avg Win Rate
75.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$3(+402.5%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$102
Avg Win Rate
82.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$59(+58.1%)
Whales
7
G
gmgmgmgmg๐ฅ
Entry 50ยขยท40.1 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $20 ยท WR 79.2%
S
smallreceipt๐ฅ
Entry 99ยขยท20 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $20 ยท WR 89.0%
D
Deserted-Surroundings๐ฅ
Entry 50ยขยท36 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
74.8%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $18 ยท WR 74.8%
G
god83743894
Entry 89ยขยท20 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $18 ยท WR 85.7%
P
plainfolder
Entry 50ยขยท20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 ยท WR 86.0%
N
Needy-Logo
Entry 50ยขยท18 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
81.1%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $9 ยท WR 81.1%
C
Conscious-Gaffer-Tortoise
Entry 50ยขยท14.5 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $7 ยท WR 79.2%
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