Politics22 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-04 House election by 35%-40%?
YES Price
17¢
17% implied
NO Price
83¢
83% implied
Volume
$4.7K
269 trades
Smart Whales
9
of 71 traders
AR-04 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $24.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs6 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 73%
+1 new YES$5+1 new NO$15
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $11 is directional: YES $11·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$18
Avg Win Rate
68.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$4(-20.0%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$95
Avg Win Rate
80.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$48(+50.6%)
Whales
6
E
e46m3🥇
Entry 61¢·40.1 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $24 · WR 79.6%
S
Sour-Rocker-Foam🥈
Entry 50¢·36 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
80.0%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $18 · WR 80.0%
C
Clean-Chick-Cupcake🥉
Entry 89¢·18 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
82.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $16 · WR 82.7%
T
Thorny-Parachute-Philanthropy
Entry 85¢·18 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
85.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $15 · WR 85.3%
N
nefariouskermit
Entry 29¢·40 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
70.5%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $12 · WR 70.5%
P
plainfolder
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $10 · WR 86.0%
Smart Whale Trades
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