Politics22 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-04 House election by 50%-55%?
YES Price
2ยข
2% implied
NO Price
98ยข
98% implied
Volume
$369
39 trades
Smart Whales
8
of 23 traders
AR-04 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS ยท $24.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs7 NO
13%88%
88% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars ยท 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h โ no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides โ all $0 is directional: YES $0ยทNO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$0
Avg Win Rate
75.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$1(+1100.0%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$97
Avg Win Rate
81.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$78(+80.3%)
Whales
7
G
graynotebook19๐ฅ
Entry 77ยขยท30 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $23 ยท WR 89.3%
G
gmgmgmgmg๐ฅ
Entry 50ยขยท40.1 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $20 ยท WR 79.2%
L
Loose-Alloy๐ฅ
Entry 50ยขยท36 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
70.9%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $18 ยท WR 70.9%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 50ยขยท20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $10 ยท WR 88.2%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 50ยขยท20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $10 ยท WR 88.7%
S
Spectacular-Ladder-Ant
Entry 50ยขยท18 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
78.4%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $9 ยท WR 78.4%
L
Late-Squirrel-Mecca
Entry 50ยขยท14.5 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
67.7%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $7 ยท WR 67.7%
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