Hashrider · Polymarket wallet 0xfc20…0c78

+$636 lifetime P&L · 68.1% win rate · 72 resolved markets · 0xfc20272cc657598a814572b93f582b9acded0c78

LIVE · AUTO-REFRESH 60S

Wallet snapshot

Hashrider has made 659 trades on Polymarket across 135 markets, $23K in volume. Most of it is in politics (52%) and geopolitics (30%). On 72 resolved markets the win rate is 68.1%, lifetime P&L +$636. It holds 38 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?". Last trade: Nov 8, 2026.

Largest open positions

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · $5,285 · 89¢ → 91¢
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?Yes · $3,759 · 38¢ → 98¢
Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?Yes · $208 · 89¢ → 93¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No · $87 · 95¢ → 93¢
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes · $82 · 88¢ → 98¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes · $54 · 54¢ → 66¢
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No · $46 · 89¢ → 85¢
Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026?Yes · $42 · 57¢ → 77¢
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes · $25 · 41¢ → 46¢
Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by March 31, 2027?No · $23 · 74¢ → 76¢

Latest closed positions

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?Yes · +$151 · Nov 9, 2026
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?Yes · +$18 · Nov 8, 2026
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?Yes · +$17 · Nov 7, 2026
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 15, 2026?No · +$42 · Nov 7, 2026
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 30, 2026?No · +$28 · Nov 7, 2026
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?Yes · -$1 · Nov 7, 2026
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.