MiyagoloMusashi · Polymarket wallet 0x823d…2db3

Wallet snapshot

MiyagoloMusashi has made 3,782 trades on Polymarket across 1,042 markets, $190K in volume. Most of it is in sports (25%) and geopolitics (24%). On 958 resolved markets the win rate is 71.7%, lifetime P&L -$178. It holds 62 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?". Last trade: Oct 28, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No · $2,295 · 50¢ → 82¢
• Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · $505 · 50¢ → 18¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · $479 · 79¢ → 88¢
• Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?No · $463 · 90¢ → 93¢
• Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No · $375 · 48¢ → 93¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No · $194 · 93¢ → 97¢
• Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes · $129 · 60¢ → 81¢
• Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by December 31, 2026?No · $94 · 88¢ → 94¢
• Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?No · $85 · 65¢ → 95¢
• China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No · $44 · 67¢ → 88¢

Latest closed positions

• 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo · +$9 · Nov 4, 2026
• Will the Republican Party win the TN-02 House seat?Yes · +$1 · Nov 4, 2026
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?No · +$19 · Oct 28, 2026
• Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No · +$1 · Oct 27, 2026
• Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial election?Yes · +$1 · Oct 26, 2026
• Will George Simion be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No · +$0 · Oct 20, 2026
• Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.