Sports80 days left

Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$3.56M
40,090 trades
Smart Whales
437
of 3,954 traders · 8 on both sides

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

27 MARKETS · $42.18M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

194 YESvs251 NO
44%56%
56% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 15% YES by dollars · 131 YES vs 99 NO taking a side · 2 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 84%· net of hedges
+32 new YES$2.5K+27 new NO$12.9K
$2 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
4 smart whales11 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$320 of $84.0K is hedged across different prices by 8 wallets. True directional: YES $12.9K·NO $70.9K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 43% YES: Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or