YouKnowHisName · Polymarket wallet 0x6539…23ad

Wallet snapshot

YouKnowHisName has made 457 trades on Polymarket across 141 markets, $27K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (36%) and politics (16%). On 126 resolved markets the win rate is 94.4%. It holds 13 open positions right now; the largest is No on "US recession by end of 2026?". Last trade: Sep 19, 2026.

Largest open positions

• US recession by end of 2026?No · $524 · 79¢ → 93¢
• Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No · $513 · 93¢ → 97¢
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No · $490 · 88¢ → 96¢
• Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No · $396 · 90¢ → 96¢
• Will GameStop acquire eBay?No · $317 · 89¢ → 95¢
• Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No · $314 · 0¢ → 100¢
• US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No · $307 · 92¢ → 95¢
• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No · $234 · 92¢ → 98¢
• Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No · $210 · 94¢ → 98¢
• Trump out as President before 2027?No · $207 · 93¢ → 96¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No · +$37 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No · +$14 · Oct 1, 2026
• US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?No · +$7 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No · +$3 · Sep 16, 2026
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?No · +$33 · Sep 1, 2026
• US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No · -$212 · Aug 12, 2026
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.