YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$2.43M
16,829 trades
Smart Whales
671
of 6,394 traders
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
4 MARKETS · $50.26M MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
94 YESvs577 NO
14%86%
86% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 9 YES vs 542 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $69.6K is directional: YES $24·NO $69.6KYES Team
Total Invested
$29.0K
Avg Win Rate
70.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$21.5K(-74.1%)
Whales
94
A
Avamax🥇
Entry 102¢·8,200.2 shares
Invested
$8.4K
Win Rate
80.2%
Position P&L
$-8377
$-8377INV $8.4K · WR 80.2%
T
Threadbare-Signal🥈
Entry 5¢·90,703.2 shares
Invested
$4.2K
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
$-4221
$-4221INV $4.2K · WR 60.2%
F
fxwd12345🥉
Entry 99¢·3,894.3 shares
Invested
$3.9K
Win Rate
71.4%
Position P&L
$-3851
$-3851INV $3.9K · WR 71.4%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedhedged
Entry 98¢·1,578.3 shares·also $6 on NO
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-1543
$-1543INV $1.5K · WR 55.3%
X
xenonliu
Entry 147¢·931.3 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
60.8%
Position P&L
$-1367
$-1367INV $1.4K · WR 60.8%
A
Anjunhedged
Entry 6¢·18,035.9 shares·also $32.9K on NO
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
$-1132
$-1132INV $1.1K · WR 58.8%
R
Rin2x
Entry 99¢·975.4 shares
Invested
$970
Win Rate
86.8%
Position P&L
$-970
$-970INV $970 · WR 86.8%
L
Lisbonhedged
Entry 2¢·818.3 shares·also $1.8K on NO
Invested
$13
Win Rate
91.9%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $13 · WR 91.9%
L
Liquidifier
Entry 1¢·1,058.6 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $13 · WR 56.3%
C
Crypto-Well
Entry 0¢·2,851.5 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $3 · WR 56.5%
Showing top 10 of 94
NO Team
Total Invested
$132.9K
Avg Win Rate
75.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$10.1K(+7.6%)
Whales
577
A
Anjun🥇hedged
Entry 93¢·35,209.1 shares·also $1.1K on YES
Invested
$32.9K
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
+$2356
+$2356INV $32.9K · WR 58.8%
S
Spanish-Priority🥈
Entry 93¢·20,100 shares
Invested
$18.7K
Win Rate
88.4%
Position P&L
+$1408
+$1408INV $18.7K · WR 88.4%
S
samemma🥉
Entry 100¢·15,604.5 shares
Invested
$15.6K
Win Rate
81.8%
Position P&L
+$29
+$29INV $15.6K · WR 81.8%
M
MisterAnderson.eth
Entry 97¢·5,000 shares
Invested
$4.8K
Win Rate
84.4%
Position P&L
+$153
+$153INV $4.8K · WR 84.4%
4
0x4e25605f...◆Proven
Entry 93¢·4,468 shares
Invested
$4.2K
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
+$313
+$313INV $4.2K · WR 69.4%
G
GamblingDino
Entry 96¢·2,797 shares
Invested
$2.7K
Win Rate
66.2%
Position P&L
+$110
+$110INV $2.7K · WR 66.2%
Q
QMG-CORE
Entry 97¢·2,000 shares
Invested
$1.9K
Win Rate
81.2%
Position P&L
+$60
+$60INV $1.9K · WR 81.2%
L
Lisbonhedged
Entry 97¢·1,845 shares·also $13 on YES
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
91.9%
Position P&L
+$53
+$53INV $1.8K · WR 91.9%
G
Giorgio2
Entry 99¢·1,500 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
74.0%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $1.5K · WR 74.0%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 99¢·1,426.5 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $1.4K · WR 68.2%
Showing top 10 of 577
Smart Whale Trades
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