ksquare · Polymarket wallet 0x430e…ed6d

+$23,707 lifetime P&L · 78.4% win rate · 3,133 resolved markets · 0x430ed984671d00ba19f97524083f655bc70ded6d

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Wallet snapshot

ksquare has made 80,027 trades on Polymarket across 3,240 markets, $2.9M in volume. Most of it is in politics (46%) and sports (12%). On 3,133 resolved markets the win rate is 78.4%, lifetime P&L +$24K. It holds 106 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?". Last trade: Feb 12, 2026.

Largest open positions

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No · $2,125 · 97¢ → 99¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $1,260 · 77¢ → 91¢
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No · $911 · 74¢ → 91¢
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No · $856 · 92¢ → 85¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No · $854 · 84¢ → 91¢
Trump impeached by end of 2026?No · $608 · 86¢ → 98¢
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No · $567 · 96¢ → 94¢
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No · $523 · 98¢ → 100¢
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No · $500 · 99¢ → 100¢
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No · $495 · 98¢ → 99¢

Latest closed positions

Will April be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?No · -$284 · Sep 1, 2026
Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?No · -$3 · Aug 28, 2026
Will July be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?No · +$1 · Aug 1, 2026
Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026?No · +$3 · Jul 4, 2026
Will June be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?No · +$3 · Jul 2, 2026
Will Waymo operate in 10 cities on June 30 2026?No · +$3 · Jul 1, 2026
Will Waymo operate in 7 cities on June 30 2026?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.