Politics111 days left
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?
YES Price
10¢
10% implied
NO Price
90¢
90% implied
Volume
$75.8K
1,553 trades
Smart Whales
63
of 325 traders
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
2 MARKETS · $141.0K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
13 YESvs50 NO
21%79%
79% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $3.6K is directional: YES $5·NO $3.6KYES Team
Total Invested
$1.1K
Avg Win Rate
60.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$855(-80.6%)
Whales
13
J
J-E-R🥇hedged
Entry 85¢·1,055.4 shares·also $389 on NO
Invested
$893
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
$-791
$-791INV $893 · WR 58.8%
C
controls🥈hedged
Entry 85¢·89 shares·also $16 on NO
Invested
$76
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-67
$-67INV $76 · WR 72.2%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥉hedged
Entry 11¢·312.8 shares·also $575 on NO
Invested
$34
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $34 · WR 57.7%
K
ksquarehedged
Entry 19¢·51 shares·also $45 on NO
Invested
$10
Win Rate
78.4%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $10 · WR 78.4%
U
UbuntuTradinghedged
Entry 5¢·125.7 shares·also $118 on NO
Invested
$6
Win Rate
66.5%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $6 · WR 66.5%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 9¢·61.1 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $5 · WR 68.2%
I
itsjustcheddar
Entry 0¢·51 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
80.8%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $0 · WR 80.8%
Showing top 7 of 13
NO Team
Total Invested
$6.0K
Avg Win Rate
63.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$4.2K(+70.5%)
Whales
50
S
ScottyNooo🥇
Entry 83¢·3,021.2 shares
Invested
$2.5K
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
+$213
+$213INV $2.5K · WR 56.0%
B
BetterFish◆Proven🥈
Entry 85¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$848
Win Rate
70.2%
Position P&L
+$56
+$56INV $848 · WR 70.2%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥉hedged
Entry 91¢·630.3 shares·also $34 on YES
Invested
$575
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $575 · WR 57.7%
J
J-E-Rhedged
Entry 20¢·1,950.4 shares·also $893 on YES
Invested
$389
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
+$1374
+$1374INV $389 · WR 58.8%
I
influenz.eth
Entry 13¢·2,318.7 shares
Invested
$298
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$1797
+$1797INV $298 · WR 85.8%
H
Hjklm
Entry 31¢·524.7 shares
Invested
$163
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$311
+$311INV $163 · WR 87.7%
4
0x4e25605f...◆Proven
Entry 94¢·126 shares
Invested
$118
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $118 · WR 69.4%
U
UbuntuTradinghedged
Entry 94¢·125.7 shares·also $6 on YES
Invested
$118
Win Rate
66.5%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $118 · WR 66.5%
N
NoMoreMister
Entry 70¢·107.3 shares
Invested
$75
Win Rate
88.4%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $75 · WR 88.4%
Z
Zarshka
Entry 92¢·80 shares
Invested
$74
Win Rate
62.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $74 · WR 62.3%
Showing top 10 of 50
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