80 days left
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
YES Price
22¢
22% implied
NO Price
78¢
78% implied
Volume
$500.9K
4,119 trades
Smart Whales
90
of 843 traders
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
6 MARKETS · $1.17M MATCHEDSmart Money
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026←
22¢+10¢$500.9K29/61Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026←+10¢22¢
$500.9K29/61
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026
49¢−11¢$275.4K27/44Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026−11¢49¢
$275.4K27/44
Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026
9¢+14¢$46.5K13/43Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026+14¢9¢
$46.5K13/43
Will there be exactly 3 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026
9¢+12¢$32.4K10/38Will there be exactly 3 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026+12¢9¢
$32.4K10/38
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
29 YESvs61 NO
32%68%
68% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 91% YES by dollars · 10 YES vs 10 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $5.3K is directional: YES $4.8K·NO $462YES Team
Total Invested
$5.1K
Avg Win Rate
68.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.5K(-49.5%)
Whales
29
L
LieutenantMiloMinderbinder🥇
Entry 51¢·7,551 shares
Invested
$3.8K
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
$-2000
$-2000INV $3.8K · WR 70.0%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥈
Entry 44¢·1,385.4 shares
Invested
$608
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-310
$-310INV $608 · WR 57.7%
D
DEGENKHAN◆Proven🥉
Entry 27¢·1,006.6 shares
Invested
$271
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
$-55
$-55INV $271 · WR 66.6%
H
hellokittyhellokittyhedged
Entry 52¢·250 shares·also $137 on NO
Invested
$131
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
$-77
$-77INV $131 · WR 66.6%
1
1walrushedged
Entry 68¢·131.4 shares·also $9 on NO
Invested
$89
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
$-61
$-61INV $89 · WR 65.1%
H
haruk098
Entry 37¢·135 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
76.0%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $50 · WR 76.0%
D
0xd897b23d...hedged
Entry 60¢·55 shares·also $20 on NO
Invested
$33
Win Rate
81.8%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $33 · WR 81.8%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 71¢·25 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $18 · WR 68.2%
J
jennylulu2016
Entry 10¢·62 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
89.1%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $6 · WR 89.1%
C
Celestiflame
Entry 62¢·8.2 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $5 · WR 85.7%
Showing top 10 of 29
NO Team
Total Invested
$4.3K
Avg Win Rate
80.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.9K(+44.6%)
Whales
61
I
influenz.eth🥇
Entry 51¢·3,215.2 shares
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$888
+$888INV $1.6K · WR 85.8%
M
melchior1248🥈
Entry 56¢·842 shares
Invested
$470
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
+$191
+$191INV $470 · WR 69.2%
R
rainbowlilies🥉
Entry 48¢·600 shares
Invested
$287
Win Rate
84.8%
Position P&L
+$184
+$184INV $287 · WR 84.8%
R
rated
Entry 52¢·532.3 shares
Invested
$276
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$142
+$142INV $276 · WR 87.7%
P
products
Entry 57¢·257 shares
Invested
$147
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
+$55
+$55INV $147 · WR 86.6%
N
Novus0rdoSeclorum
Entry 50¢·275 shares
Invested
$138
Win Rate
83.8%
Position P&L
+$78
+$78INV $138 · WR 83.8%
H
hellokittyhellokittyhedged
Entry 63¢·216.2 shares·also $131 on YES
Invested
$137
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
+$33
+$33INV $137 · WR 66.6%
T
tttt123
Entry 68¢·200 shares
Invested
$136
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $136 · WR 69.2%
5
5atka
Entry 71¢·181.6 shares
Invested
$130
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $130 · WR 57.1%
M
mymacbook◆Proven
Entry 59¢·209 shares
Invested
$123
Win Rate
80.1%
Position P&L
+$41
+$41INV $123 · WR 80.1%
Showing top 10 of 61
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