90 days left
Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
YES Price
8¢
8% implied
NO Price
92¢
92% implied
Volume
$46.2K
1,428 trades
Smart Whales
56
of 362 traders
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
6 MARKETS · $1.17M MATCHEDSmart Money
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026
34¢0¢$500.0K31/61Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 20260¢34¢
$500.0K31/61
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026
46¢−5¢$275.1K29/41Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026−5¢46¢
$275.1K29/41
Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026←
8¢+15¢$46.2K13/43Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026←+15¢8¢
$46.2K13/43
Will there be exactly 3 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026
1¢+22¢$32.2K11/36Will there be exactly 3 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026+22¢1¢
$32.2K11/36
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
13 YESvs43 NO
23%77%
77% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 53% YES by dollars · 8 YES vs 8 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 94%
+2 new YES$3+2 new NO$47
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $374 is directional: YES $197·NO $177YES Team
Total Invested
$207
Avg Win Rate
68.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$182(+87.8%)
Whales
13
D
DEGENKHAN◆Proven🥇
Entry 5¢·3,437.1 shares
Invested
$164
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$178
+$178INV $164 · WR 66.7%
1
1walrus🥈
Entry 10¢·91 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
64.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $9 · WR 64.7%
O
Opulent-Communicant🥉
Entry 5¢·159.7 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
73.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $8 · WR 73.0%
H
haruk098
Entry 6¢·135 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
76.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $8 · WR 76.0%
J
jennylulu2016
Entry 10¢·62 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $6 · WR 88.9%
S
supergauss
Entry 4¢·29.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $1 · WR 79.7%
8
88mnm88hedged
Entry 2¢·40.7 shares·also $35 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
77.1%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $1 · WR 77.1%
J
James-Claude◆Proven
Entry 5¢·5 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
75.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 75.9%
S
Shallow-Diadem
Entry 12¢·2 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
59.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 59.3%
Y
yzhaobk
Entry 0¢·2.8 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 87.9%
Showing top 10 of 13
NO Team
Total Invested
$6.1K
Avg Win Rate
80.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.4K(+22.9%)
Whales
43
I
influenz.eth🥇
Entry 90¢·3,116.5 shares
Invested
$2.8K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$35
+$35INV $2.8K · WR 85.8%
M
melchior1248🥈
Entry 93¢·838.9 shares
Invested
$776
Win Rate
68.9%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $776 · WR 68.9%
L
LieutenantMiloMinderbinder🥉
Entry 54¢·1,003.4 shares
Invested
$539
Win Rate
70.1%
Position P&L
+$380
+$380INV $539 · WR 70.1%
R
rated
Entry 76¢·533.8 shares
Invested
$403
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$86
+$86INV $403 · WR 87.7%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Entry 58¢·492.9 shares
Invested
$286
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
+$165
+$165INV $286 · WR 57.8%
N
Novus0rdoSeclorum
Entry 95¢·275 shares
Invested
$261
Win Rate
83.8%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $261 · WR 83.8%
P
products
Entry 93¢·257.1 shares
Invested
$239
Win Rate
86.5%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $239 · WR 86.5%
M
mymacbook◆Proven
Entry 53¢·208.9 shares
Invested
$110
Win Rate
80.0%
Position P&L
+$81
+$81INV $110 · WR 80.0%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 93¢·100 shares
Invested
$93
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $93 · WR 79.5%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 97¢·66.6 shares
Invested
$64
Win Rate
68.6%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $64 · WR 68.6%
Showing top 10 of 43
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