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89 days left

Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
34ยข
34% implied
NO Price
66ยข
66% implied
Volume
$500.0K
4,046 trades
Smart Whales
93
of 838 traders

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI โ‰ฅ4) in 2026?

6 MARKETS ยท $1.17M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

33 YESvs60 NO
36%65%
65% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 91% YES by dollars ยท 13 YES vs 9 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 77%
+1 new YES$15+3 new NO$51
1 smart whale1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides โ€” all $5.3K is directional: YES $4.8KยทNO $461
YES Team
Total Invested
$5.2K
Avg Win Rate
68.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.2K(-22.3%)
Whales
33
L
LieutenantMiloMinderbinder๐Ÿฅ‡
Entry 51ยขยท7,473.1 shares
$-1038INV $3.8K ยท WR 70.1%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly๐Ÿฅˆ
Entry 44ยขยท1,385.4 shares
$-88INV $608 ยท WR 57.8%
D
DEGENKHANProven๐Ÿฅ‰
Entry 35ยขยท508.9 shares
+$14INV $177 ยท WR 66.7%
H
hellokittyhellokittyhedged
Entry 52ยขยท250 sharesยทalso $137 on NO
$-46INV $131 ยท WR 66.5%
1
1walrushedged
Entry 68ยขยท131.4 sharesยทalso $9 on NO
$-44INV $89 ยท WR 64.7%
D
donthackme
Entry 20ยขยท391.7 shares
+$70INV $77 ยท WR 87.6%
G
gotonetry33
Entry 65ยขยท80.4 shares
$-22INV $52 ยท WR 79.3%
H
haruk098
Entry 37ยขยท135 shares
+$0INV $50 ยท WR 76.0%
D
0xd897b23d...hedged
Entry 60ยขยท55 sharesยทalso $20 on NO
$-14INV $33 ยท WR 81.8%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 71ยขยท25 shares
$-8INV $18 ยท WR 68.6%
Showing top 10 of 33

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Smart money 34% YES: there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4โ€ฆ