179 days left

Will there be exactly 4 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?

YES Price
0ยข
0% implied
NO Price
100ยข
100% implied
Volume
$36.0K
1,073 trades
Smart Whales
62
of 197 traders

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI โ‰ฅ4) in 2026?

6 MARKETS ยท $1.17M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

17 YESvs45 NO
27%73%
73% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 16% YES by dollars ยท 3 YES vs 6 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%
+1 new YES$0+2 new NO$50
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides โ€” all $71 is directional: YES $11ยทNO $60

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Smart money 27% YES: there be exactly 4 confirmed VEI 4โ€ฆ