90 days left
Will there be exactly 3 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$32.2K
924 trades
Smart Whales
47
of 206 traders
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
6 MARKETS · $1.17M MATCHEDSmart Money
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026
34¢0¢$500.0K31/61Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 20260¢34¢
$500.0K31/61
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026
43¢−2¢$275.1K29/41Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026−2¢43¢
$275.1K29/41
Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026
8¢+15¢$46.2K13/43Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026+15¢8¢
$46.2K13/43
Will there be exactly 3 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026←
1¢+22¢$32.2K11/36Will there be exactly 3 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026←+22¢1¢
$32.2K11/36
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
10 YESvs37 NO
21%79%
79% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 12% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 99%
+1 new YES$0+2 new NO$50
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $79 is directional: YES $10·NO $70YES Team
Total Invested
$106
Avg Win Rate
66.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$72(-67.5%)
Whales
10
1
1walrus🥇hedged
Entry 86¢·80 shares·also $2 on NO
Invested
$69
Win Rate
64.7%
Position P&L
$-68
$-68INV $69 · WR 64.7%
J
jennylulu2016🥈
Entry 10¢·62 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $6 · WR 88.9%
H
haruk098🥉
Entry 1¢·135 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
76.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 76.0%
D
DEGENKHAN◆Proven
Entry 2¢·91 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 66.7%
M
mymacbook◆Proven
Entry 0¢·90 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
80.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $0 · WR 80.0%
Showing top 5 of 10
NO Team
Total Invested
$6.4K
Avg Win Rate
80.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$2.0K(+30.5%)
Whales
37
I
influenz.eth🥇
Entry 95¢·3,574.8 shares
Invested
$3.4K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$133
+$133INV $3.4K · WR 85.8%
M
melchior1248🥈
Entry 98¢·842.8 shares
Invested
$826
Win Rate
68.9%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $826 · WR 68.9%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥉
Entry 97¢·492.9 shares
Invested
$480
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $480 · WR 57.8%
L
LieutenantMiloMinderbinder
Entry 46¢·1,003.4 shares
Invested
$460
Win Rate
70.1%
Position P&L
+$530
+$530INV $460 · WR 70.1%
R
rated
Entry 53¢·532.8 shares
Invested
$282
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$244
+$244INV $282 · WR 87.7%
N
Novus0rdoSeclorum
Entry 99¢·275 shares
Invested
$272
Win Rate
83.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $272 · WR 83.8%
P
products
Entry 98¢·258 shares
Invested
$252
Win Rate
86.5%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $252 · WR 86.5%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 98¢·100 shares
Invested
$98
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $98 · WR 79.5%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 99¢·66.5 shares
Invested
$66
Win Rate
68.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $66 · WR 68.6%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·90.5 shares
Invested
$45
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
+$44
+$44INV $45 · WR 79.3%
Showing top 10 of 37
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