TheDchicken · Polymarket wallet 0x5f1a…84a0

Wallet snapshot

TheDchicken has made 596 trades on Polymarket across 330 markets, $3,242 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (46%) and politics (26%). On 299 resolved markets the win rate is 58.9%, lifetime P&L +$58. It holds 29 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Iran Nuke before 2027?". Last trade: Sep 25, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Iran Nuke before 2027?No · $17 · 86¢ → 97¢
• Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No · $13 · 74¢ → 97¢
• Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?No · $13 · 84¢ → 90¢
• Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?No · $12 · 77¢ → 94¢
• Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No · $11 · 92¢ → 98¢
• EU dissolves before 2027?No · $10 · 95¢ → 99¢
• Will FDP be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?No · $8 · 99¢ → 96¢
• Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?No · $7 · 79¢ → 80¢
• 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No · $7 · 88¢ → 97¢
• Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?No · $6 · 82¢ → 99¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?Yes · -$1 · Oct 1, 2026
• Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026No · +$1 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes · +$0 · Sep 21, 2026
• Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes · +$1 · Sep 21, 2026
• Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes · +$0 · Sep 21, 2026
• Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No · +$2 · Sep 21, 2026

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