Resolved81 days left
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026
YES Price
0Ā¢
0% implied
NO Price
100Ā¢
100% implied
Volume
$392.4K
1,940 trades
Smart Whales
109
of 413 traders
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?
7 MARKETS Ā· $2.83M MATCHEDSmart Money
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026
2Ā¢+20Ā¢$145.6K18/64Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026+20Ā¢2Ā¢
$145.6K18/64
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026ā
0Ā¢+29Ā¢$392.4K32/77Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026ā+29Ā¢0Ā¢
$392.4K32/77
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before November 30, 2026
4Ā¢+22Ā¢$11.6K5/14Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before November 30, 2026+22Ā¢4Ā¢
$11.6K5/14
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before June 30, 2027
35Ā¢ā35Ā¢$2.3K0/4Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before June 30, 2027ā35Ā¢35Ā¢
$2.3K0/4
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027
21Ā¢+4Ā¢$1.9K1/3Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027+4Ā¢21Ā¢
$1.9K1/3
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
32 YESvs77 NO
29%71%
71% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 7% YES by dollars Ā· 6 YES vs 39 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h ā no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure Ā· invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides ā all $8.4K is directional: YES $574Ā·NO $7.8KYES Team
Total Invested
$17.6K
Avg Win Rate
63.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$13.7K(-78.1%)
Whales
32
R
Raskellš„
Entry 74Ā¢Ā·15,358.4 shares
Invested
$11.3K
Win Rate
62.8%
Position P&L
$-11340
$-11340INV $11.3K Ā· WR 62.8%
R
Rhabarberbarbarbarš„hedged
Entry 13Ā¢Ā·9,138.1 sharesĀ·also $3.3K on NO
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
70.5%
Position P&L
$-1162
$-1162INV $1.2K Ā· WR 70.5%
L
l39sm34812391js831š„
Entry 6Ā¢Ā·6,254.4 shares
Invested
$400
Win Rate
60.9%
Position P&L
$-394
$-394INV $400 Ā· WR 60.9%
3
3648393489047hedged
Entry 6Ā¢Ā·4,152.6 sharesĀ·also $7.5K on NO
Invested
$236
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
$-236
$-236INV $236 Ā· WR 65.9%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBillyhedged
Entry 4Ā¢Ā·6,000 sharesĀ·also $5.7K on NO
Invested
$218
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-218
$-218INV $218 Ā· WR 57.7%
M
M888āProven
Entry 7Ā¢Ā·3,270.8 shares
Invested
$216
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-216
$-216INV $216 Ā· WR 72.2%
B
browne
Entry 5Ā¢Ā·2,650 shares
Invested
$139
Win Rate
75.5%
Position P&L
$-139
$-139INV $139 Ā· WR 75.5%
M
Malganis
Entry 5Ā¢Ā·317 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
75.0%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $16 Ā· WR 75.0%
5
0x54498e4c...
Entry 6Ā¢Ā·146.5 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $9 Ā· WR 55.4%
B
burakrum
Entry 7Ā¢Ā·90.8 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
68.1%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $7 Ā· WR 68.1%
Showing top 10 of 32
NO Team
Total Invested
$125.5K
Avg Win Rate
77.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$60.0K(+47.8%)
Whales
77
T
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMAš„
Entry 54Ā¢Ā·54,463.8 shares
Invested
$29.5K
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$25010
+$25010INV $29.5K Ā· WR 88.7%
A
aff3š„
Entry 50Ā¢Ā·45,911.1 shares
Invested
$23.1K
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$22828
+$22828INV $23.1K Ā· WR 79.2%
M
MisTKyš„
Entry 95Ā¢Ā·20,000 shares
Invested
$18.9K
Win Rate
71.3%
Position P&L
+$1060
+$1060INV $18.9K Ā· WR 71.3%
3
3648393489047hedged
Entry 97Ā¢Ā·7,744.9 sharesĀ·also $236 on YES
Invested
$7.5K
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
+$254
+$254INV $7.5K Ā· WR 65.9%
G
GoriIIa
Entry 74Ā¢Ā·9,516.5 shares
Invested
$7.0K
Win Rate
71.8%
Position P&L
+$2515
+$2515INV $7.0K Ā· WR 71.8%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBillyhedged
Entry 92Ā¢Ā·6,159.9 sharesĀ·also $218 on YES
Invested
$5.7K
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$492
+$492INV $5.7K Ā· WR 57.7%
S
SeutervoinenāProven
Entry 69Ā¢Ā·6,375.2 shares
Invested
$4.4K
Win Rate
91.4%
Position P&L
+$1997
+$1997INV $4.4K Ā· WR 91.4%
K
knradāProven
Entry 99Ā¢Ā·4,317.6 shares
Invested
$4.3K
Win Rate
77.1%
Position P&L
+$61
+$61INV $4.3K Ā· WR 77.1%
R
Rhabarberbarbarbarhedged
Entry 111Ā¢Ā·2,952.2 sharesĀ·also $1.2K on YES
Invested
$3.3K
Win Rate
70.5%
Position P&L
$-313
$-313INV $3.3K Ā· WR 70.5%
G
geowatch
Entry 98Ā¢Ā·2,047 shares
Invested
$2.0K
Win Rate
67.0%
Position P&L
+$43
+$43INV $2.0K Ā· WR 67.0%
Showing top 10 of 77
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