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107 days left

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026

View on Polymarket
YES Price
10¢
10% implied
NO Price
90¢
90% implied
Volume
$11.4K
199 trades
Smart Whales
18
of 78 traders · 1 on both sides

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?

3 MARKETS · $1.37M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

3 YESvs16 NO
16%84%
84% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 16 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 93%· net of hedges
+46 new YES$1.1K+52 new NO$12.3K
$339 of this was bought on both sides by the same 19 buyers — left out of momentum
4 smart whales17 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$1 of $8.5K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $2·NO $8.5K
YES Team
Total Invested
$3
Avg Win Rate
57.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$0(-0.8%)
Whales
3
M
MikaAlg🥇
Entry 7¢·25 shares
$-0INV $2 · WR 55.2%
G
ghorrock🥈hedged
Entry 5¢·12.7 shares·also $10 on NO
+$0INV $1 · WR 59.3%
8
0x88755107...🥉
Entry 10¢·2 shares
$-0INV $0 · WR 69.0%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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