Geopolitics87 days left
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
YES Price
21¢
21% implied
NO Price
79¢
79% implied
Volume
$293.4K
2,688 trades
Smart Whales
77
of 739 traders · 2 on both sides
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
4 MARKETS · $973.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026
16¢+25¢$420.6K32/47Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026+25¢16¢
$420.6K32/47
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026
56¢−19¢$189.4K23/39Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026−19¢56¢
$189.4K23/39
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
30 YESvs49 NO
38%62%
62% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 89% YES by dollars · 12 YES vs 8 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$183 of $3.7K is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $3.2K·NO $384YES Team
Total Invested
$3.4K
Avg Win Rate
66.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$439(+12.8%)
Whales
30
D
DEGENKHAN◆Proven🥇
Entry 19¢·10,312.2 shares
Invested
$1.9K
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
+$178
+$178INV $1.9K · WR 66.6%
4
0x4e25605f...🥈hedged
Entry 19¢·4,149.8 shares·also $91 on NO
Invested
$777
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
+$74
+$74INV $777 · WR 69.4%
G
gopfan2◆Proven🥉
Entry 11¢·2,879.6 shares
Invested
$329
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
+$261
+$261INV $329 · WR 60.2%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 28¢·471.3 shares
Invested
$134
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
$-42
$-42INV $134 · WR 68.2%
P
projectparrothedged
Entry 79¢·61.2 shares·also $7 on NO
Invested
$48
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
$-36
$-36INV $48 · WR 55.5%
H
hellokittyhellokitty
Entry 27¢·127.8 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $34 · WR 66.6%
H
hetacz◆Proven
Entry 17¢·200 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
81.6%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $34 · WR 81.6%
D
Davidbill
Entry 18¢·100 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
74.9%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $18 · WR 74.9%
M
Mohel
Entry 23¢·30 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
84.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $7 · WR 84.3%
K
KickstandBot
Entry 22¢·20 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
66.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $4 · WR 66.2%
Showing top 10 of 30
NO Team
Total Invested
$3.0K
Avg Win Rate
74.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$5.2K(+177.6%)
Whales
49
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥇
Entry 13¢·6,124.4 shares
Invested
$784
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$4085
+$4085INV $784 · WR 57.7%
I
influenz.eth🥈
Entry 33¢·1,441.2 shares
Invested
$477
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$669
+$669INV $477 · WR 85.8%
R
rated🥉
Entry 48¢·848.3 shares
Invested
$409
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$266
+$266INV $409 · WR 87.7%
T
tttt123
Entry 87¢·196.6 shares
Invested
$172
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $172 · WR 69.2%
L
lottonakamoto
Entry 82¢·171.5 shares
Invested
$141
Win Rate
69.9%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $141 · WR 69.9%
4
0x4e25605f...hedged
Entry 72¢·126 shares·also $777 on YES
Invested
$91
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $91 · WR 69.4%
W
wokerjoesleeper
Entry 51¢·172 shares
Invested
$87
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$50
+$50INV $87 · WR 87.6%
G
god83743894
Entry 50¢·156 shares
Invested
$78
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$46
+$46INV $78 · WR 85.7%
Q
quiddy
Entry 87¢·85.2 shares
Invested
$74
Win Rate
76.3%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $74 · WR 76.3%
P
plainfolder
Entry 76¢·91.3 shares
Invested
$70
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $70 · WR 86.0%
Showing top 10 of 49
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