Geopolitics96 days left
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
YES Price
27¢
27% implied
NO Price
73¢
73% implied
Volume
$419.9K
2,834 trades
Smart Whales
71
of 742 traders · 1 on both sides
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
4 MARKETS · $971.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026←
27¢+11¢$419.9K27/45Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026←+11¢27¢
$419.9K27/45
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026
52¢−13¢$189.2K24/37Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026−13¢52¢
$189.2K24/37
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
26 YESvs46 NO
36%64%
64% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 69% YES by dollars · 13 YES vs 7 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 85%
+2 new YES$43+1 new NO$8
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$1 of $3.7K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $2.6K·NO $1.2KYES Team
Total Invested
$2.8K
Avg Win Rate
62.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$736(+26.6%)
Whales
26
G
gopfan2◆Proven🥇
Entry 21¢·8,516.1 shares
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$478
+$478INV $1.8K · WR 60.0%
4
0x4e25605f...◆Proven🥈
Entry 17¢·2,259 shares
Invested
$376
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
+$223
+$223INV $376 · WR 69.4%
D
DEGENKHAN◆Proven🥉
Entry 23¢·1,250.5 shares
Invested
$285
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$46
+$46INV $285 · WR 66.7%
E
EpicJaguarNoblehedged
Entry 76¢·177 shares·also $59 on NO
Invested
$135
Win Rate
58.1%
Position P&L
$-88
$-88INV $135 · WR 58.1%
O
Opulent-Communicant
Entry 20¢·266.7 shares
Invested
$55
Win Rate
73.0%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $55 · WR 73.0%
H
hetacz◆Proven
Entry 17¢·200 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
81.7%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $34 · WR 81.7%
C
cef0b057C63B71b6F29b48299433
Entry 21¢·92.2 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
84.5%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $19 · WR 84.5%
B
Bikesarethebest◆Proven
Entry 15¢·122.3 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $19 · WR 56.1%
M
Mohel
Entry 19¢·30 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
84.4%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $6 · WR 84.4%
K
KickstandBot
Entry 28¢·20 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
66.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $6 · WR 66.3%
Showing top 10 of 26
NO Team
Total Invested
$4.8K
Avg Win Rate
72.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$3.5K(+72.3%)
Whales
46
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥇
Entry 22¢·6,303.4 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
+$3215
+$3215INV $1.4K · WR 57.8%
I
influenz.eth🥈
Entry 66¢·1,508.5 shares
Invested
$992
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$116
+$116INV $992 · WR 85.8%
E
Elias.Thornwell🥉
Entry 86¢·848.6 shares
Invested
$726
Win Rate
68.6%
Position P&L
$-102
$-102INV $726 · WR 68.6%
R
rated
Entry 66¢·847.8 shares
Invested
$559
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$64
+$64INV $559 · WR 87.7%
L
lottonakamoto
Entry 86¢·179.4 shares
Invested
$154
Win Rate
69.7%
Position P&L
$-23
$-23INV $154 · WR 69.7%
T
tttt123
Entry 74¢·200 shares
Invested
$148
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $148 · WR 69.2%
5
5atka
Entry 74¢·119.7 shares
Invested
$89
Win Rate
57.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $89 · WR 57.2%
W
wokerjoesleeper
Entry 42¢·204.1 shares
Invested
$86
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$64
+$64INV $86 · WR 87.6%
N
northdrawer
Entry 55¢·130 shares
Invested
$71
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$24
+$24INV $71 · WR 87.6%
P
plainfolder
Entry 86¢·70 shares
Invested
$60
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $60 · WR 85.9%
Showing top 10 of 46
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