Geopolitics96 days left
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
YES Price
52¢
52% implied
NO Price
48¢
48% implied
Volume
$189.2K
2,440 trades
Smart Whales
60
of 672 traders · 1 on both sides
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
4 MARKETS · $971.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026
27¢+11¢$419.9K27/45Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026+11¢27¢
$419.9K27/45
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026←
52¢−13¢$189.2K24/37Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026←−13¢52¢
$189.2K24/37
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
24 YESvs37 NO
39%61%
61% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 95% YES by dollars · 15 YES vs 3 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$21 of $4.8K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $4.5K·NO $244YES Team
Total Invested
$4.7K
Avg Win Rate
65.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$6.3K(+134.3%)
Whales
24
D
DEGENKHAN◆Proven🥇
Entry 26¢·6,492 shares
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$1712
+$1712INV $1.7K · WR 66.7%
G
gopfan2◆Proven🥈
Entry 17¢·8,698.5 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$3006
+$3006INV $1.5K · WR 60.0%
4
0x4e25605f...◆Proven🥉
Entry 22¢·5,008.9 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
+$1484
+$1484INV $1.1K · WR 69.4%
E
Experienced-Specialist
Entry 62¢·161.1 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
78.3%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $100 · WR 78.3%
O
Opulent-Communicant
Entry 49¢·107.3 shares
Invested
$53
Win Rate
73.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $53 · WR 73.0%
A
alex1734
Entry 76¢·50.1 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
64.3%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $38 · WR 64.3%
M
MAGA-2026
Entry 80¢·44.9 shares
Invested
$36
Win Rate
78.2%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $36 · WR 78.2%
H
hetacz◆Proven
Entry 17¢·200 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
81.7%
Position P&L
+$70
+$70INV $34 · WR 81.7%
L
lottonakamoto
Entry 64¢·31.6 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
69.7%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $20 · WR 69.7%
M
Malakha
Entry 51¢·35.1 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $18 · WR 55.9%
Showing top 10 of 24
NO Team
Total Invested
$3.1K
Avg Win Rate
68.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.7K(+53.2%)
Whales
37
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥇
Entry 25¢·6,287.9 shares
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
+$1432
+$1432INV $1.6K · WR 57.8%
I
influenz.eth🥈
Entry 36¢·1,487.6 shares
Invested
$536
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$179
+$179INV $536 · WR 85.8%
R
rated🥉
Entry 36¢·848 shares
Invested
$304
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$103
+$103INV $304 · WR 87.7%
5
5atka
Entry 82¢·200 shares
Invested
$163
Win Rate
57.2%
Position P&L
$-64
$-64INV $163 · WR 57.2%
W
wokerjoesleeper
Entry 47¢·204.1 shares
Invested
$95
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $95 · WR 87.6%
T
tttt123
Entry 76¢·100.9 shares
Invested
$77
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
$-27
$-27INV $77 · WR 69.2%
D
donthackme
Entry 54¢·79.1 shares
Invested
$43
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $43 · WR 87.6%
N
northdrawer
Entry 56¢·60 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $34 · WR 87.6%
T
tsybka
Entry 31¢·100 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $31 · WR 86.0%
K
k1tten
Entry 27¢·70 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
82.7%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $19 · WR 82.7%
Showing top 10 of 37
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