Geopolitics96 days left
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
YES Price
20¢
20% implied
NO Price
80¢
80% implied
Volume
$293.3K
2,652 trades
Smart Whales
76
of 729 traders · 1 on both sides
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
4 MARKETS · $971.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026
26¢+12¢$419.9K27/45Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026+12¢26¢
$419.9K27/45
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026
52¢−13¢$189.2K24/37Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026−13¢52¢
$189.2K24/37
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
28 YESvs49 NO
36%64%
64% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 90% YES by dollars · 12 YES vs 8 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 100%
+2 new YES$10+0 new NO$0
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$181 of $3.7K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $3.2K·NO $368YES Team
Total Invested
$3.4K
Avg Win Rate
66.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$258(+7.5%)
Whales
28
D
DEGENKHAN◆Proven🥇
Entry 19¢·10,328.4 shares
Invested
$1.9K
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$75
+$75INV $1.9K · WR 66.7%
4
0x4e25605f...🥈hedged
Entry 19¢·4,149.8 shares·also $91 on NO
Invested
$777
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
+$33
+$33INV $777 · WR 69.4%
G
gopfan2◆Proven🥉
Entry 11¢·2,879.6 shares
Invested
$329
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$232
+$232INV $329 · WR 60.0%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 28¢·479.4 shares
Invested
$136
Win Rate
68.6%
Position P&L
$-43
$-43INV $136 · WR 68.6%
P
projectparrothedged
Entry 79¢·61.2 shares·also $7 on NO
Invested
$48
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
$-36
$-36INV $48 · WR 55.6%
H
hellokittyhellokitty
Entry 27¢·127.8 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
66.5%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $34 · WR 66.5%
H
hetacz◆Proven
Entry 17¢·200 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
81.7%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $34 · WR 81.7%
D
Davidbill
Entry 18¢·72.4 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
74.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $13 · WR 74.9%
R
romanew-13
Entry 29¢·25 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
81.4%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $7 · WR 81.4%
M
Mohel
Entry 23¢·30 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
84.4%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $7 · WR 84.4%
Showing top 10 of 28
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.9K
Avg Win Rate
74.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$5.4K(+186.5%)
Whales
49
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥇
Entry 13¢·6,124.4 shares
Invested
$784
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
+$4147
+$4147INV $784 · WR 57.8%
I
influenz.eth🥈
Entry 33¢·1,441.2 shares
Invested
$477
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$683
+$683INV $477 · WR 85.8%
R
rated🥉
Entry 48¢·848.3 shares
Invested
$409
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$274
+$274INV $409 · WR 87.7%
T
tttt123
Entry 87¢·196.6 shares
Invested
$172
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $172 · WR 69.2%
L
lottonakamoto
Entry 82¢·171.5 shares
Invested
$141
Win Rate
69.7%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $141 · WR 69.7%
4
0x4e25605f...hedged
Entry 72¢·126 shares·also $777 on YES
Invested
$91
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $91 · WR 69.4%
W
wokerjoesleeper
Entry 51¢·172 shares
Invested
$87
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$51
+$51INV $87 · WR 87.6%
G
god83743894
Entry 50¢·156 shares
Invested
$78
Win Rate
85.6%
Position P&L
+$48
+$48INV $78 · WR 85.6%
Q
quiddy
Entry 87¢·85.2 shares
Invested
$74
Win Rate
76.3%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $74 · WR 76.3%
P
plainfolder
Entry 76¢·91.3 shares
Invested
$70
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $70 · WR 85.9%
Showing top 10 of 49
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