Geopolitics96 days left
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$69.5K
1,472 trades
Smart Whales
65
of 362 traders · 1 on both sides
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
4 MARKETS · $971.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026
27¢+11¢$419.9K27/45Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026+11¢27¢
$419.9K27/45
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026
52¢−13¢$189.2K24/37Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026−13¢52¢
$189.2K24/37
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
19 YESvs47 NO
29%71%
71% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 84% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 6 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 98%
+1 new YES$1+1 new NO$52
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$214 of $1.3K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $933·NO $174YES Team
Total Invested
$1.3K
Avg Win Rate
67.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$952(-75.7%)
Whales
19
4
0x4e25605f...🥇hedged
Entry 17¢·2,700 shares·also $107 on NO
Invested
$450
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
$-396
$-396INV $450 · WR 69.4%
D
DEGENKHAN◆Proven🥈
Entry 8¢·3,867.4 shares
Invested
$295
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-218
$-218INV $295 · WR 66.7%
G
gopfan2◆Proven🥉
Entry 9¢·3,016.6 shares
Invested
$259
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-199
$-199INV $259 · WR 60.0%
D
DegenerateJanethedged
Entry 7¢·1,000 shares·also $860 on NO
Invested
$70
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
$-50
$-50INV $70 · WR 84.1%
H
hellokittyhellokitty
Entry 14¢·409.5 shares
Invested
$57
Win Rate
66.5%
Position P&L
$-48
$-48INV $57 · WR 66.5%
H
hetacz◆Proven
Entry 17¢·200 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
81.7%
Position P&L
$-30
$-30INV $34 · WR 81.7%
D
DooBieZhedged
Entry 12¢·91.7 shares·also $80 on NO
Invested
$11
Win Rate
62.8%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $11 · WR 62.8%
N
Noisy-Peanut
Entry 10¢·28.4 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
81.3%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $3 · WR 81.3%
M
MinistryOfPanic
Entry 14¢·0.7 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 58.7%
Q
quiddy
Entry 0¢·6 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
76.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 76.3%
Showing top 10 of 19
NO Team
Total Invested
$3.2K
Avg Win Rate
78.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$7.7K(+239.8%)
Whales
47
D
DegenerateJanet🥇hedged
Entry 86¢·1,000 shares·also $70 on YES
Invested
$860
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
+$120
+$120INV $860 · WR 84.1%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥈
Entry 8¢·6,303.4 shares
Invested
$482
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
+$5695
+$5695INV $482 · WR 57.8%
R
rated🥉
Entry 54¢·848.2 shares
Invested
$462
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$369
+$369INV $462 · WR 87.7%
I
influenz.eth
Entry 23¢·1,476.8 shares
Invested
$332
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$1115
+$1115INV $332 · WR 85.8%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 96¢·112.8 shares
Invested
$108
Win Rate
68.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $108 · WR 68.6%
4
0x4e25605f...hedged
Entry 85¢·126 shares·also $450 on YES
Invested
$107
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $107 · WR 69.4%
D
Davidbill
Entry 97¢·100 shares
Invested
$97
Win Rate
74.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $97 · WR 74.9%
N
northdrawer
Entry 89¢·90 shares
Invested
$80
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $80 · WR 87.6%
D
DooBieZhedged
Entry 87¢·91.7 shares·also $11 on YES
Invested
$80
Win Rate
62.8%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $80 · WR 62.8%
E
e46m3
Entry 93¢·80.8 shares
Invested
$75
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $75 · WR 79.3%
Showing top 10 of 47
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