QMG-ALPHAC · Polymarket wallet 0x3e58…070f

Wallet snapshot

QMG-ALPHAC has made 387 trades on Polymarket across 230 markets, $12K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (32%) and politics (30%). On 92 resolved markets the win rate is 80.4%, lifetime P&L -$37. It holds 112 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?". Last trade: Nov 1, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No · $369 · 62¢ → 77¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · $352 · 83¢ → 88¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?No · $245 · 91¢ → 95¢
• Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No · $153 · 98¢ → 98¢
• Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No · $142 · 93¢ → 97¢
• Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?No · $133 · 92¢ → 93¢
• Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?No · $118 · 86¢ → 92¢
• Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No · $84 · 97¢ → 98¢
• Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes · $72 · 72¢ → 97¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No · $56 · 89¢ → 90¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?Yes · +$59 · Nov 5, 2026
• Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?Yes · +$107 · Nov 5, 2026
• Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat?Yes · +$3 · Nov 5, 2026
• Russia reinstates diesel export ban by October 31?No · +$0 · Nov 5, 2026
• France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?No · -$0 · Nov 5, 2026
• Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?Yes · +$1 · Nov 5, 2026
• Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Kansas and Texas?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.