Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-01 House election by 25%-30%?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$12.6K
394 trades
Smart Whales
14
of 122 traders
MS-01 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
10 MARKETS · $37.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs13 NO
93%
93% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $27 is directional: YES $0·NO $27YES Team
Total Invested
$166
Avg Win Rate
62.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$166(-99.9%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$476
Avg Win Rate
83.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$116(+24.3%)
Whales
13
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 77¢·197.1 shares
Invested
$152
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$43
+$43INV $152 · WR 87.6%
G
godblessme2026🥈
Entry 90¢·85 shares
Invested
$77
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $77 · WR 87.9%
G
graynotebook19🥉
Entry 76¢·100 shares
Invested
$76
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $76 · WR 89.0%
B
balthazar
Entry 76¢·100 shares
Invested
$76
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $76 · WR 71.9%
E
e46m3
Entry 78¢·22.6 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $18 · WR 79.2%
A
ares-67
Entry 75¢·20 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
69.0%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $15 · WR 69.0%
L
luciebot
Entry 100¢·13 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
80.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $13 · WR 80.5%
S
Spectacular-Ladder-Ant
Entry 90¢·13.5 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
79.4%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $12 · WR 79.4%
J
johnashbough
Entry 90¢·12.8 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $12 · WR 55.3%
G
god83743894
Entry 75¢·10 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $8 · WR 86.0%
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