ares-67 · Polymarket wallet 0x04d9…eb1a

Wallet snapshot

ares-67 has made 5,986 trades on Polymarket across 3,517 markets, $40K in volume. Most of it is in crypto (95%). On 3,486 resolved markets the win rate is 69%, lifetime P&L -$99. It holds 24 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-25 House election by 20%-25%?". Last trade: Nov 11, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-25 House election by 20%-25%?No · $20 · 59¢ → 100¢
• Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-01 House election by 25%-30%?No · $20 · 75¢ → 99¢
• Will Roy Lichtenstein's “Reflections on ‘Painter and Model’” sell for at least $35m at auction?No · $18 · 76¢ → 88¢
• Will Iran target Oman by November 30, 2026?Yes · $13 · 68¢ → 74¢
• Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between November 9-November 15?No · $13 · 68¢ → 65¢
• Will Vincent van Gogh's “Châtaigniers en fleurs” sell for between $175m and $200m at auction?No · $10 · 81¢ → 80¢
• New Zealand Election: Any Bloc Wins a Majority?No · $6 · 61¢ → 31¢
• Will Cuffem lose the most weight in Nozempic 2?Yes · $5 · 30¢ → 28¢
• Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on November 11?No · $5 · 79¢ → 100¢
• Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on November 11?No · $5 · 62¢ → 99¢

Latest closed positions

• Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETYes · +$1 · Nov 11, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETNo · +$1 · Nov 11, 2026
• Will Iran target Oman by November 30, 2026?No · +$1 · Nov 11, 2026
• Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ETYes · +$1 · Nov 11, 2026
• Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ETYes · +$0 · Nov 11, 2026
• Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?Yes · +$2 · Nov 11, 2026
• Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.