Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-01 House election by 35%-40%?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$2.0K
80 trades
Smart Whales
13
of 48 traders
MS-01 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
10 MARKETS · $37.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs11 NO
15%85%
85% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $38 is directional: YES $38·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$38
Avg Win Rate
64.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$36(-95.6%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$361
Avg Win Rate
83.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$191(+52.9%)
Whales
11
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 91¢·96.9 shares
Invested
$88
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $88 · WR 71.9%
G
graynotebook19🥈
Entry 91¢·95 shares
Invested
$87
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $87 · WR 89.0%
P
plainfolder🥉
Entry 91¢·85 shares
Invested
$77
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $77 · WR 86.1%
L
Lucerys
Entry 19¢·197.1 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$158
+$158INV $38 · WR 87.6%
E
e46m3
Entry 80¢·20 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $16 · WR 79.2%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 83¢·15 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $12 · WR 88.5%
G
Giant-Upper-Seat
Entry 90¢·13.5 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
81.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $12 · WR 81.9%
L
luciebot
Entry 100¢·12.1 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
80.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $12 · WR 80.5%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 94¢·10 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $9 · WR 87.9%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 97¢·5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 88.6%
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