Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-01 House election by 5%-15%?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$1.1K
45 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 33 traders
MS-01 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
10 MARKETS · $37.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs9 NO
10%90%
90% of smart money holding this market is on NO
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
YES Team
Total Invested
$7
Avg Win Rate
62.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$7(-95.8%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$366
Avg Win Rate
86.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$7(+1.8%)
Whales
9
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 100¢·197.1 shares
Invested
$197
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $197 · WR 87.6%
S
smallreceipt🥈
Entry 99¢·95 shares
Invested
$94
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $94 · WR 88.6%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 100¢·20 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $20 · WR 79.2%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 100¢·15 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $15 · WR 87.9%
L
luciebot
Entry 100¢·13 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
80.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $13 · WR 80.5%
P
Pertinent-Nudge-Rancher
Entry 94¢·13.5 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $13 · WR 79.7%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 100¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $10 · WR 86.5%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 100¢·5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 89.0%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 0¢·5 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $0 · WR 84.1%
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 612ms