Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-01 House election by 20%-25%?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$8.4K
226 trades
Smart Whales
13
of 99 traders
MS-01 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
10 MARKETS · $37.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs11 NO
15%85%
85% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $48 is directional: YES $48·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$48
Avg Win Rate
58.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$46(-94.1%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$341
Avg Win Rate
83.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$200(+58.7%)
Whales
11
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 42¢·197.1 shares
Invested
$82
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$112
+$112INV $82 · WR 87.6%
Q
quietparcel🥈
Entry 80¢·85 shares
Invested
$68
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $68 · WR 88.5%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 66¢·100 shares
Invested
$66
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$33
+$33INV $66 · WR 71.9%
N
northdrawer
Entry 66¢·85 shares
Invested
$56
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$28
+$28INV $56 · WR 87.5%
E
e46m3
Entry 87¢·20 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $17 · WR 79.2%
L
luciebot
Entry 100¢·13 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
80.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $13 · WR 80.5%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 74¢·15 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
86.5%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $11 · WR 86.5%
B
Bare-Earring
Entry 75¢·13.5 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
83.6%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $10 · WR 83.6%
D
Daring-Dishwasher-Tutu
Entry 100¢·9.2 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
84.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $9 · WR 84.9%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 82¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $4 · WR 84.1%
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