Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-01 House election by 45% or more?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$902
38 trades
Smart Whales
9
of 33 traders
MS-01 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
10 MARKETS · $37.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs8 NO
11%89%
89% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $5 is directional: YES $5·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$5
Avg Win Rate
72.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$4(-96.3%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$414
Avg Win Rate
87.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$20(+4.9%)
Whales
8
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 99¢·197.1 shares
Invested
$195
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $195 · WR 87.6%
S
smallreceipt🥈
Entry 99¢·85 shares
Invested
$84
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $84 · WR 88.6%
P
plainfolder🥉
Entry 85¢·85 shares
Invested
$72
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $72 · WR 86.1%
E
e46m3
Entry 99¢·27 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $27 · WR 79.2%
N
northdrawer
Entry 100¢·15 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $15 · WR 87.5%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 99¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $10 · WR 88.5%
G
god83743894
Entry 99¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $10 · WR 86.0%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 1¢·5 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $0 · WR 84.1%
Smart Whale Trades
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