Politics1 days left
Will the National Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$19.2K
617 trades
Smart Whales
57
of 215 traders · 1 on both sides
NZ Election: National Party # of seats?
7 MARKETS · $65.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the National Party win fewer than 25 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election
0¢0¢$1.9K0/17Will the National Party win fewer than 25 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election0¢0¢
$1.9K0/17
Will the National Party win 25-29 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election
0¢+6¢$3.7K1/17Will the National Party win 25-29 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election+6¢0¢
$3.7K1/17
Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election
1¢+29¢$15.6K8/19Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election+29¢1¢
$15.6K8/19
Will the National Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election←
1¢+26¢$19.2K7/19Will the National Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election←+26¢1¢
$19.2K7/19
Will the National Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election
99¢−79¢$20.4K5/20Will the National Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election−79¢99¢
$20.4K5/20
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
23 YESvs35 NO
40%60%
60% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 20% YES by dollars · 13 YES vs 6 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 88%· net of hedges
+50 new YES$1.6K+59 new NO$8.0K
$1.3K of this was bought on both sides by the same 27 buyers — left out of momentum
19 smart whales29 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$98 of $4.4K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $881·NO $3.4KYES Team
Total Invested
$946
Avg Win Rate
61.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$883(-93.3%)
Whales
23
1
1walrus🥇
Entry 10¢·3,656.6 shares
Invested
$376
Win Rate
64.5%
Position P&L
$-339
$-339INV $376 · WR 64.5%
J
js1996🥈
Entry 49¢·500 shares
Invested
$246
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-241
$-241INV $246 · WR 57.7%
E
EffectiveAltruist🥉
Entry 50¢·285.2 shares
Invested
$143
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
$-140
$-140INV $143 · WR 57.1%
C
copvinhedged
Entry 45¢·161.3 shares·also $49 on NO
Invested
$73
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
$-71
$-71INV $73 · WR 58.8%
V
vinii
Entry 42¢·135.9 shares
Invested
$56
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
$-55
$-55INV $56 · WR 66.8%
C
Contestable-Parfait
Entry 14¢·200 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
$-26
$-26INV $28 · WR 55.8%
S
Spotless-Investigator-Overcoathedged
Entry 5¢·55.4 shares·also $52 on NO
Invested
$3
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $3 · WR 60.3%
C
Comfortable-Sandwich
Entry 5¢·61.8 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $3 · WR 59.8%
P
Pricey-Million
Entry 3¢·70.7 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 60.4%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 4¢·35 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 79.7%
Showing top 10 of 23
NO Team
Total Invested
$4.7K
Avg Win Rate
77.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$540(+11.4%)
Whales
35
D
Diligent-Scenario🥇
Entry 98¢·2,862.5 shares
Invested
$2.8K
Win Rate
76.9%
Position P&L
+$39
+$39INV $2.8K · WR 76.9%
K
kl1v🥈
Entry 86¢·500 shares
Invested
$428
Win Rate
80.9%
Position P&L
+$67
+$67INV $428 · WR 80.9%
Q
qwen300.fund🥉
Entry 88¢·440 shares
Invested
$386
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$49
+$49INV $386 · WR 86.1%
L
Lucerys
Entry 62¢·177.5 shares
Invested
$110
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$66
+$66INV $110 · WR 87.6%
R
Relaccsed
Entry 64¢·150 shares
Invested
$96
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
+$52
+$52INV $96 · WR 57.8%
J
JRRRG
Entry 60¢·134.7 shares
Invested
$81
Win Rate
77.8%
Position P&L
+$52
+$52INV $81 · WR 77.8%
C
Classic-Loggia
Entry 73¢·92 shares
Invested
$67
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
+$24
+$24INV $67 · WR 60.2%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 83¢·76.8 shares
Invested
$64
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $64 · WR 88.6%
K
Knowing-Arthur-Ash
Entry 83¢·75.7 shares
Invested
$63
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $63 · WR 60.1%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 72¢·80 shares
Invested
$58
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$21
+$21INV $58 · WR 89.0%
Showing top 10 of 35
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 398ms