Politics2 days left
Will the National Party win 45-49 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$1.4K
163 trades
Smart Whales
15
of 70 traders
NZ Election: National Party # of seats?
7 MARKETS · $32.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the National Party win fewer than 25 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election
0¢+6¢$1.4K1/15Will the National Party win fewer than 25 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election+6¢0¢
$1.4K1/15
Will the National Party win 25-29 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election
1¢+24¢$2.1K4/12Will the National Party win 25-29 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election+24¢1¢
$2.1K4/12
Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election
19¢+16¢$9.8K8/15Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election+16¢19¢
$9.8K8/15
Will the National Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election
39¢−13¢$6.9K5/14Will the National Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election−13¢39¢
$6.9K5/14
Will the National Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election
36¢−20¢$9.2K3/16Will the National Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election−20¢36¢
$9.2K3/16
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Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs13 NO
13%87%
87% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 30% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 97%
+1 new YES$1+1 new NO$19
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1 is directional: YES $0·NO $1YES Team
Total Invested
$0
Avg Win Rate
62.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$2(+430.9%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$219
Avg Win Rate
85.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$46(+21.2%)
Whales
13
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 98¢·44 shares
Invested
$43
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $43 · WR 87.6%
G
graynotebook19🥈
Entry 100¢·37 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $37 · WR 89.0%
N
northdrawer🥉
Entry 99¢·30 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $30 · WR 87.6%
E
e46m3
Entry 98¢·26.1 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $26 · WR 79.2%
K
korda77
Entry 100¢·25 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
84.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $25 · WR 84.9%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 99¢·20 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $20 · WR 88.7%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 81¢·16.3 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $13 · WR 87.9%
C
coldhot
Entry 77¢·14 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
72.6%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $11 · WR 72.6%
D
donthackme
Entry 99¢·7 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $7 · WR 87.5%
L
licensetofill
Entry 97¢·5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 85.9%
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