Politics2 days left
Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
YES Price
19¢
19% implied
NO Price
81¢
81% implied
Volume
$9.8K
580 trades
Smart Whales
23
of 157 traders
NZ Election: National Party # of seats?
7 MARKETS · $32.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the National Party win fewer than 25 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election
0¢+6¢$1.4K1/15Will the National Party win fewer than 25 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election+6¢0¢
$1.4K1/15
Will the National Party win 25-29 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election
1¢+24¢$2.1K4/12Will the National Party win 25-29 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election+24¢1¢
$2.1K4/12
Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election←
19¢+16¢$9.8K8/15Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election←+16¢19¢
$9.8K8/15
Will the National Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election
39¢−13¢$6.9K5/14Will the National Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election−13¢39¢
$6.9K5/14
Will the National Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election
37¢−21¢$9.2K3/16Will the National Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election−21¢37¢
$9.2K3/16
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Smart Money Consensus
8 YESvs15 NO
35%65%
65% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 84% YES by dollars · 8 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 85%· net of hedges
+14 new YES$354+19 new NO$1.3K
$328 of this was bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers — left out of momentum
3 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $210 is directional: YES $176·NO $34YES Team
Total Invested
$176
Avg Win Rate
65.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$9(+4.9%)
Whales
8
N
nicoco89🥇
Entry 22¢·399.5 shares
Invested
$89
Win Rate
63.3%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $89 · WR 63.3%
K
KnowsAllOfIt🥈
Entry 17¢·423 shares
Invested
$73
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $73 · WR 66.7%
C
copvin🥉
Entry 14¢·49.5 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $7 · WR 62.5%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 31¢·10.7 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
68.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $3 · WR 68.1%
D
Dk.Sharma
Entry 30¢·6.9 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 71.9%
P
PollyForge
Entry 16¢·5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
84.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 84.4%
E
e46m3
Entry 14¢·4.5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 79.2%
3
3ffef
Entry 19¢·0.5 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
68.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 68.1%
NO Team
Total Invested
$227
Avg Win Rate
77.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$23(+9.9%)
Whales
15
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 80¢·44 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $35 · WR 87.6%
Y
YouSayUpISayDown🥈
Entry 83¢·41 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
59.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $34 · WR 59.3%
M
musicenthusiast🥉
Entry 72¢·46.5 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
59.2%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $33 · WR 59.2%
G
god83743894
Entry 74¢·37 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $27 · WR 86.0%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 62¢·30 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $19 · WR 88.5%
K
korda77
Entry 63¢·25 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
84.9%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $16 · WR 84.9%
N
northdrawer
Entry 71¢·20 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $14 · WR 87.6%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 89¢·14.3 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
86.4%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $13 · WR 86.4%
C
coldhot
Entry 73¢·14 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
72.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $10 · WR 72.6%
D
donthackme
Entry 71¢·12.6 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $9 · WR 87.5%
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