Politics2 days left
Will the National Party win 50 or more seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$1.3K
159 trades
Smart Whales
14
of 59 traders
NZ Election: National Party # of seats?
7 MARKETS · $32.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the National Party win fewer than 25 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election
0¢+6¢$1.4K1/15Will the National Party win fewer than 25 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election+6¢0¢
$1.4K1/15
Will the National Party win 25-29 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election
1¢+24¢$2.1K4/12Will the National Party win 25-29 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election+24¢1¢
$2.1K4/12
Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election
19¢+16¢$9.8K8/15Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election+16¢19¢
$9.8K8/15
Will the National Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election
39¢−13¢$6.9K5/14Will the National Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election−13¢39¢
$6.9K5/14
Will the National Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election
36¢−20¢$9.2K3/16Will the National Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election−20¢36¢
$9.2K3/16
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Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs13 NO
93%
93% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1 is directional: YES $1·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$1
Avg Win Rate
84.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$1(-87.8%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$223
Avg Win Rate
86.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$69(+30.8%)
Whales
13
N
northdrawer🥇
Entry 99¢·51.3 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $51 · WR 87.6%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 99¢·44 shares
Invested
$44
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $44 · WR 87.6%
G
godblessme2026🥉
Entry 93¢·32 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $30 · WR 87.9%
E
e46m3
Entry 99¢·26.9 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $27 · WR 79.2%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 100¢·20 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $20 · WR 89.0%
P
plainfolder
Entry 99¢·20 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $20 · WR 86.1%
D
donthackme
Entry 99¢·12.6 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $12 · WR 87.5%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 99¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $10 · WR 88.5%
L
licensetofill
Entry 94¢·5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 85.9%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 67¢·5 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $3 · WR 66.6%
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