Politics2 days left
Will the National Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
YES Price
39¢
39% implied
NO Price
61¢
61% implied
Volume
$6.9K
392 trades
Smart Whales
19
of 140 traders
NZ Election: National Party # of seats?
7 MARKETS · $32.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the National Party win fewer than 25 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election
0¢+6¢$1.4K1/15Will the National Party win fewer than 25 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election+6¢0¢
$1.4K1/15
Will the National Party win 25-29 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election
1¢+24¢$2.1K4/12Will the National Party win 25-29 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election+24¢1¢
$2.1K4/12
Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election
19¢+16¢$9.8K8/15Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election+16¢19¢
$9.8K8/15
Will the National Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election←
39¢−13¢$6.9K5/14Will the National Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election←−13¢39¢
$6.9K5/14
Will the National Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election
36¢−20¢$9.2K3/16Will the National Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election−20¢36¢
$9.2K3/16
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Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs15 NO
21%79%
79% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 80% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 61%· net of hedges
+6 new YES$94+6 new NO$123
$86 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $202 is directional: YES $161·NO $41YES Team
Total Invested
$161
Avg Win Rate
61.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$24(+14.6%)
Whales
4
M
musicenthusiast🥇
Entry 35¢·264.8 shares
Invested
$92
Win Rate
59.2%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $92 · WR 59.2%
1
1walrus🥈
Entry 35¢·194.7 shares
Invested
$68
Win Rate
64.7%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $68 · WR 64.7%
3
0x3fa9e91f...🥉
Entry 35¢·2.9 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
68.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 68.8%
P
PollyForge
Entry 16¢·5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
84.4%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $1 · WR 84.4%
NO Team
Total Invested
$245
Avg Win Rate
79.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$14(-5.5%)
Whales
15
J
JRRRG🥇
Entry 59¢·69 shares
Invested
$41
Win Rate
73.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $41 · WR 73.1%
P
plainfolder🥈
Entry 64¢·50 shares
Invested
$32
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $32 · WR 86.1%
Y
YouSayUpISayDown🥉
Entry 72¢·41 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
59.3%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $30 · WR 59.3%
L
Lucerys
Entry 62¢·44 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $27 · WR 87.6%
N
northdrawer
Entry 67¢·37.1 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $25 · WR 87.6%
E
e46m3
Entry 63¢·31.1 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $19 · WR 79.2%
K
korda77
Entry 69¢·25 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
84.9%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $17 · WR 84.9%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 64¢·20 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $13 · WR 89.0%
C
coldhot
Entry 71¢·14 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
72.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $10 · WR 72.6%
G
god83743894
Entry 57¢·14.3 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $8 · WR 86.0%
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