Polymarket wallet 0x3fa9…a149

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0x3fa9…a149 has made 129 trades on Polymarket across 47 markets, $155 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (19%) and politics (9%). On 12 resolved markets the win rate is 75%, lifetime P&L +$5. It holds 30 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Netflix (NFLX) Q3 operating margin 36%+?". Last trade: Oct 13, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Netflix (NFLX) Q3 operating margin 36%+?No · $5 · 84¢ → 97¢
• Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Yes · $3 · 89¢ → 91¢
• Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?Yes · $3 · 73¢ → 67¢
• Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?Yes · $3 · 40¢ → 52¢
• Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 17.5%+?No · $2 · 80¢ → 100¢
• Progressive (PGR) Q3 combined ratio 92% to 95%?No · $2 · 87¢ → 97¢
• Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 12.5% to 15%?Yes · $2 · 23¢ → 45¢
• Progressive (PGR) Q3 combined ratio 86% to 89%?Yes · $2 · 40¢ → 72¢
• Will International Business Machines (IBM) Q3 Software revenue be above $7.95B?No · $2 · 74¢ → 66¢
• Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?Yes · $2 · 25¢ → 21¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.2B?Yes · +$0 · Oct 13, 2026
• Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $3.0B?No · +$1 · Oct 13, 2026
• Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q3 investment banking fees be above $3.35B?No · +$0 · Oct 13, 2026
• Will OpenRouter process between 165T and 175T tokens the week of October 5?Yes · +$3 · Oct 12, 2026
• Will OpenRouter process between 175T and 185T tokens the week of October 5?Yes · -$2 · Oct 12, 2026
• Will OpenRouter process 185T or more tokens the week of October 5?No · +$0 · Oct 12, 2026

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