Politics2 days left
Will the National Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
YES Price
36¢
36% implied
NO Price
64¢
64% implied
Volume
$9.2K
417 trades
Smart Whales
21
of 147 traders
NZ Election: National Party # of seats?
7 MARKETS · $32.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the National Party win fewer than 25 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election
0¢+6¢$1.4K1/15Will the National Party win fewer than 25 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election+6¢0¢
$1.4K1/15
Will the National Party win 25-29 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election
1¢+24¢$2.1K4/12Will the National Party win 25-29 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election+24¢1¢
$2.1K4/12
Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election
19¢+16¢$9.8K8/15Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election+16¢19¢
$9.8K8/15
Will the National Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election
39¢−13¢$6.9K5/14Will the National Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election−13¢39¢
$6.9K5/14
Will the National Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election←
36¢−20¢$9.2K3/16Will the National Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election←−20¢36¢
$9.2K3/16
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Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs16 NO
24%76%
76% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 78%· net of hedges
+16 new YES$367+21 new NO$959
$266 of this was bought on both sides by the same 9 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $307 is directional: YES $305·NO $1YES Team
Total Invested
$319
Avg Win Rate
62.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$25(+7.9%)
Whales
5
S
seal7◆Proven🥇
Entry 33¢·465 shares
Invested
$154
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $154 · WR 60.0%
1
1walrus🥈
Entry 35¢·430.3 shares
Invested
$149
Win Rate
64.7%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $149 · WR 64.7%
C
CircuitBoardA🥉hedged
Entry 26¢·53.2 shares·also $21 on NO
Invested
$14
Win Rate
67.8%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $14 · WR 67.8%
2
0x277f95ce...
Entry 40¢·3.8 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
59.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 59.0%
P
PollyForge
Entry 16¢·5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
84.4%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $1 · WR 84.4%
NO Team
Total Invested
$219
Avg Win Rate
80.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$15(+7.0%)
Whales
16
Y
YouSayUpISayDown🥇
Entry 69¢·41 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
59.3%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $28 · WR 59.3%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 62¢·44 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $27 · WR 87.6%
N
northdrawer🥉
Entry 73¢·30 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $22 · WR 87.6%
C
CircuitBoardAhedged
Entry 39¢·53.2 shares·also $14 on YES
Invested
$21
Win Rate
67.8%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $21 · WR 67.8%
E
e46m3
Entry 65¢·31.6 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $20 · WR 79.2%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 58¢·34.3 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $20 · WR 88.7%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 66¢·29.9 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
86.4%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $20 · WR 86.4%
C
C.PM
Entry 63¢·30 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
83.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $19 · WR 83.4%
K
korda77
Entry 68¢·25 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
84.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $17 · WR 84.9%
D
donthackme
Entry 67¢·12.6 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $8 · WR 87.5%
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