copvin · Polymarket wallet 0xa1c4…0cbc

Wallet snapshot

copvin has made 49 trades on Polymarket across 27 markets, $715 in volume. Most of it is in politics (24%) and crypto (17%). On 15 resolved markets the win rate is 60%, lifetime P&L +$16. It holds 18 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Israeli Knesset election annulled?". Last trade: Nov 3, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Israeli Knesset election annulled?No · $97 · 90¢ → 97¢
• Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?No · $49 · 81¢ → 77¢
• Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?No · $46 · 86¢ → 91¢
• Will voter turnout be 79% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No · $43 · 92¢ → 97¢
• Will United Torah Judaism be in the next Israeli government?Yes · $28 · 23¢ → 52¢
• Vance's Republican nomination odds hit 45% by December 31?No · $9 · 77¢ → 87¢
• Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?Yes · $8 · 78¢ → 84¢
• Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NE-02 House election by 5%-10%?No · $7 · 69¢ → 66¢
• Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on November 9?No · $4 · 7¢ → 3¢
• Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by November 30, 2026?Yes · $4 · 9¢ → 18¢

Latest closed positions

• Paxton flips Talarico for Texas Senate by November 2?No · +$0 · Nov 3, 2026
• Will Otzma Yehudit win 7.5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?No · +$4 · Nov 2, 2026
• Will Dems win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes · +$11 · Nov 2, 2026
• Will Dems win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?No · -$7 · Nov 2, 2026
• Will Otzma win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes · +$8 · Nov 1, 2026
• Will Republicans win white voters in the midterms?No · +$0 · Nov 1, 2026
• Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win 4-5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.