EconomicsResolved
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$31.04M
74,334 trades
Smart Whales
476
of 5,859 traders
Fed Decision in June?
7 MARKETS · $43.95M MATCHEDSmart Money
by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting
17¢+37¢$7.24M322/278by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting+37¢17¢
$7.24M322/278
by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting
0¢+18¢$4.37M53/245by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting+18¢0¢
$4.37M53/245
by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting
75¢−35¢$763.2K65/99by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting−35¢75¢
$763.2K65/99
by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting
3¢+12¢$412.9K14/78by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting+12¢3¢
$412.9K14/78
by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting
32¢−8¢$91.0K15/47by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting−8¢32¢
$91.0K15/47
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
98 YESvs378 NO
21%79%
79% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $11.1K is directional: YES $11.1K·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$27.1K
Avg Win Rate
66.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$11.4K(-42.1%)
Whales
98
D
debased◆Proven🥇
Entry 20¢·53,278.7 shares
Invested
$10.7K
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
$-10656
$-10656INV $10.7K · WR 65.9%
U
Upright-Snug🥈hedged
Entry 1¢·51,005.7 shares·also $50.9K on NO
Invested
$285
Win Rate
80.1%
Position P&L
$-285
$-285INV $285 · WR 80.1%
N
ninasuskevic🥉
Entry 0¢·65,790 shares
Invested
$132
Win Rate
63.9%
Position P&L
$-132
$-132INV $132 · WR 63.9%
L
Liquidifier
Entry 0¢·100,000 shares
Invested
$125
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-125
$-125INV $125 · WR 56.3%
A
AishahSofey
Entry 1¢·14,969.3 shares
Invested
$105
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-105
$-105INV $105 · WR 56.8%
W
Wund-
Entry 0¢·40,097.6 shares
Invested
$73
Win Rate
74.4%
Position P&L
$-73
$-73INV $73 · WR 74.4%
P
puravida
Entry 1¢·8,200 shares
Invested
$57
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
$-57
$-57INV $57 · WR 59.9%
C
Capital-Endoderm
Entry 0¢·2,000 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $8 · WR 60.4%
7
0x71e11e0f...
Entry 13¢·9 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 55.4%
Showing top 9 of 98
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.14M
Avg Win Rate
83.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$10.18M(+895.5%)
Whales
378
I
influenz.eth🥇
Entry 89¢·362,262.4 shares
Invested
$323.7K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$38583
+$38583INV $323.7K · WR 85.8%
I
i18z🥈
Entry 99¢·95,660 shares
Invested
$95.0K
Win Rate
87.1%
Position P&L
+$648
+$648INV $95.0K · WR 87.1%
L
licensetofill🥉
Entry 99¢·87,303 shares
Invested
$86.7K
Win Rate
86.4%
Position P&L
+$575
+$575INV $86.7K · WR 86.4%
R
rated
Entry 97¢·59,348.6 shares
Invested
$57.4K
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$1914
+$1914INV $57.4K · WR 87.7%
S
Siziriv◆Proven
Entry 20¢·270,393.3 shares
Invested
$53.9K
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
+$216503
+$216503INV $53.9K · WR 89.2%
U
Upright-Snughedged
Entry 100¢·51,005.7 shares·also $285 on YES
Invested
$50.9K
Win Rate
80.1%
Position P&L
+$102
+$102INV $50.9K · WR 80.1%
F
foodenjoyer
Entry 11¢·281,038.8 shares
Invested
$31.6K
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
+$249445
+$249445INV $31.6K · WR 60.2%
H
HHYP
Entry 26¢·116,266.2 shares
Invested
$29.9K
Win Rate
78.6%
Position P&L
+$86406
+$86406INV $29.9K · WR 78.6%
W
Wonderful-Disgust
Entry 9¢·311,988.3 shares
Invested
$29.2K
Win Rate
73.4%
Position P&L
+$282785
+$282785INV $29.2K · WR 73.4%
E
e46m3
Entry 99¢·29,378.7 shares
Invested
$29.1K
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$247
+$247INV $29.1K · WR 79.6%
Showing top 10 of 378
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