EconomicsResolved
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its May meeting?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$59.8K
579 trades
Smart Whales
20
of 65 traders
Fed Interest Rates: May 2023
7 MARKETS · $13.66M MATCHEDSmart Money
by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting
18¢+36¢$7.77M322/278by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting+36¢18¢
$7.77M322/278
by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting
0¢+18¢$4.48M53/245by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting+18¢0¢
$4.48M53/245
by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting
76¢−36¢$776.0K65/99by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting−36¢76¢
$776.0K65/99
by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting
3¢+12¢$420.2K14/78by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting+12¢3¢
$420.2K14/78
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
9 YESvs11 NO
45%55%
55% of smart money holding this market is on NO
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
YES Team
Total Invested
$2.5K
Avg Win Rate
61.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.5K(-100.0%)
Whales
9
K
Kickstand7🥇hedged
Entry 9¢·7,086 shares·also $1.5K on NO
Invested
$643
Win Rate
63.2%
Position P&L
$-643
$-643INV $643 · WR 63.2%
S
Squee🥈hedged
Entry 8¢·6,604.4 shares·also $12.1K on NO
Invested
$551
Win Rate
69.5%
Position P&L
$-551
$-551INV $551 · WR 69.5%
7
0x71e11e0f...🥉hedged
Entry 21¢·2,303.2 shares·also $1.2K on NO
Invested
$489
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
$-489
$-489INV $489 · WR 55.4%
S
sigh
Entry 10¢·3,728.3 shares
Invested
$381
Win Rate
57.6%
Position P&L
$-381
$-381INV $381 · WR 57.6%
A
Anjunhedged
Entry 10¢·3,609.5 shares·also $2.6K on NO
Invested
$343
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
$-343
$-343INV $343 · WR 58.8%
S
Skip-Earthwax
Entry 7¢·330 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
65.7%
Position P&L
$-25
$-25INV $25 · WR 65.7%
S
SusanWarrenHR◆Proven
Entry 74¢·25 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
67.5%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $19 · WR 67.5%
K
KunoGreiner
Entry 70¢·15 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
62.3%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $11 · WR 62.3%
B
BetterFishhedged
Entry 22¢·40 shares·also $12 on NO
Invested
$9
Win Rate
70.2%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $9 · WR 70.2%
NO Team
Total Invested
$24.1K
Avg Win Rate
69.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$8.6K(+35.6%)
Whales
11
S
Squee🥇hedged
Entry 68¢·17,884.8 shares·also $551 on YES
Invested
$12.1K
Win Rate
69.5%
Position P&L
+$5770
+$5770INV $12.1K · WR 69.5%
B
BuckMySalls🥈
Entry 94¢·3,159.6 shares
Invested
$3.0K
Win Rate
62.0%
Position P&L
+$178
+$178INV $3.0K · WR 62.0%
T
taut-dogwood🥉
Entry 96¢·2,919.7 shares
Invested
$2.8K
Win Rate
95.7%
Position P&L
+$120
+$120INV $2.8K · WR 95.7%
A
Anjunhedged
Entry 90¢·2,900 shares·also $343 on YES
Invested
$2.6K
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
+$286
+$286INV $2.6K · WR 58.8%
K
Kickstand7hedged
Entry 63¢·2,308.2 shares·also $643 on YES
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
63.2%
Position P&L
+$851
+$851INV $1.5K · WR 63.2%
7
0x71e11e0f...hedged
Entry 71¢·1,661 shares·also $489 on YES
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
+$483
+$483INV $1.2K · WR 55.4%
I
ImJustKen
Entry 43¢·1,417.9 shares
Invested
$605
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
+$813
+$813INV $605 · WR 61.2%
Y
yelawolf
Entry 95¢·189.8 shares
Invested
$181
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $181 · WR 88.1%
M
moonlitzt
Entry 69¢·144.5 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
68.8%
Position P&L
+$44
+$44INV $100 · WR 68.8%
B
BetterFishhedged
Entry 61¢·20 shares·also $9 on YES
Invested
$12
Win Rate
70.2%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $12 · WR 70.2%
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