EconomicsResolved
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$62.94M
82,948 trades
Smart Whales
1017
of 14,582 traders
Fed decision in April?
7 MARKETS · $76.65M MATCHEDSmart Money
by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting
0¢+15¢$5.94M36/209by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting+15¢0¢
$5.94M36/209
by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting
0¢+28¢$6.52M81/210by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting+28¢0¢
$6.52M81/210
by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting
0¢+19¢$559.4K14/61by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting+19¢0¢
$559.4K14/61
by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting
1¢+22¢$600.3K23/78by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting+22¢1¢
$600.3K23/78
by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting
1¢+13¢$42.2K7/43by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting+13¢1¢
$42.2K7/43
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
171 YESvs846 NO
17%83%
83% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $6.4K is directional: YES $6.4K·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$93.1K
Avg Win Rate
68.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$41.1K(-44.1%)
Whales
171
J
JosephTrump🥇hedged
Entry 99¢·30,150.7 shares·also $830 on NO
Invested
$29.7K
Win Rate
65.5%
Position P&L
$-29716
$-29716INV $29.7K · WR 65.5%
X
XAE12Archangel🥈
Entry 0¢·7,248,068 shares
Invested
$6.3K
Win Rate
77.3%
Position P&L
$-6308
$-6308INV $6.3K · WR 77.3%
R
risk-manager🥉
Entry 0¢·1,411,622.9 shares
Invested
$3.4K
Win Rate
73.6%
Position P&L
$-3412
$-3412INV $3.4K · WR 73.6%
J
Juanolo
Entry 0¢·499,999.6 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
75.8%
Position P&L
$-1051
$-1051INV $1.1K · WR 75.8%
I
Irboz-sama
Entry 0¢·159,385.3 shares
Invested
$362
Win Rate
66.3%
Position P&L
$-362
$-362INV $362 · WR 66.3%
T
tiger555
Entry 0¢·27,864.9 shares
Invested
$134
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-134
$-134INV $134 · WR 56.3%
S
solwizzo-onX
Entry 1¢·14,999.8 shares
Invested
$130
Win Rate
65.4%
Position P&L
$-130
$-130INV $130 · WR 65.4%
Showing top 7 of 171
NO Team
Total Invested
$5.65M
Avg Win Rate
90.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.22M(+21.6%)
Whales
846
B
BigFishSushiChief◆Proven🥇
Entry 100¢·4,114,003.8 shares
Invested
$4.10M
Win Rate
93.8%
Position P&L
+$11480
+$11480INV $4.10M · WR 93.8%
I
influenz.eth🥈
Entry 84¢·816,463.5 shares
Invested
$683.1K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$133360
+$133360INV $683.1K · WR 85.8%
F
foodenjoyer🥉
Entry 100¢·138,811.2 shares
Invested
$138.2K
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
+$585
+$585INV $138.2K · WR 60.2%
N
Novus0rdoSeclorum
Entry 99¢·133,793.8 shares
Invested
$133.0K
Win Rate
83.8%
Position P&L
+$771
+$771INV $133.0K · WR 83.8%
R
rated
Entry 67¢·98,162.4 shares
Invested
$65.4K
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$32769
+$32769INV $65.4K · WR 87.7%
C
chenyu9
Entry 100¢·48,657 shares
Invested
$48.5K
Win Rate
95.9%
Position P&L
+$195
+$195INV $48.5K · WR 95.9%
W
wokerjoesleeper
Entry 49¢·72,820 shares
Invested
$35.3K
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$37491
+$37491INV $35.3K · WR 87.6%
M
mymacbook◆Proven
Entry 100¢·33,880.1 shares
Invested
$33.8K
Win Rate
80.1%
Position P&L
+$128
+$128INV $33.8K · WR 80.1%
V
Valuebettor
Entry 100¢·32,566.7 shares
Invested
$32.4K
Win Rate
86.7%
Position P&L
+$138
+$138INV $32.4K · WR 86.7%
S
Siziriv◆Proven
Entry 23¢·135,774.1 shares
Invested
$31.8K
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
+$103950
+$103950INV $31.8K · WR 89.2%
Showing top 10 of 846
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