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Economics81 days left

Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$4.23M
86,288 trades
Smart Whales
230
of 8,172 traders · 1 on both sides

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

13 MARKETS · $54.05M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

63 YESvs168 NO
27%73%
73% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 57% YES by dollars · 27 YES vs 31 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$8 of $2.2K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $1.3K·NO $960
YES Team
Total Invested
$6.7K
Avg Win Rate
74.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.2K(-18.0%)
Whales
63
4
0x4e25605f...Proven🥇
Entry 7¢·3,561.3 shares
$-262INV $265 · WR 69.4%
D
donthackme🥈
Entry 8¢·2,891.3 shares
$-220INV $222 · WR 87.7%
I
ImJustKen🥉
Entry 4¢·4,660 shares
$-205INV $210 · WR 61.2%
A
avengers2357avengers
Entry 8¢·1,394 shares
$-107INV $107 · WR 95.3%
C
Copezilla
Entry 0¢·33,500 shares
$-89INV $104 · WR 70.5%
G
GingerMcKenna
Entry 8¢·725.8 shares
$-56INV $56 · WR 84.9%
C
Capital-Endoderm
Entry 1¢·5,000.2 shares
$-49INV $54 · WR 60.4%
G
gremlin
Entry 5¢·1,000 shares
$-50INV $50 · WR 69.1%
D
0xd32ce89f...Proven
Entry 8¢·630.7 shares
$-48INV $49 · WR 83.5%
H
haruk098
Entry 2¢·1,905 shares
$-45INV $46 · WR 76.0%
Showing top 10 of 63

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 27% YES: 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026