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Economics80 days left

Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$2.75M
42,128 trades
Smart Whales
278
of 3,423 traders · 1 on both sides

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

13 MARKETS · $54.06M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

89 YESvs190 NO
32%68%
68% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 85% YES by dollars · 41 YES vs 51 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%· net of hedges
+6 new YES$0+6 new NO$292
$1 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$240 of $3.4K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $2.6K·NO $485
YES Team
Total Invested
$5.7K
Avg Win Rate
68.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.6K(-45.6%)
Whales
89
T
Trading4Fridge🥇
Entry 5¢·10,139.2 shares
$-519INV $534 · WR 57.4%
4
0x4e25605f...🥈hedged
Entry 8¢·4,532.3 shares·also $120 on NO
$-333INV $340 · WR 69.4%
D
donthackme🥉
Entry 8¢·4,317.1 shares
$-326INV $332 · WR 87.7%
M
mombilProven
Entry 8¢·3,478.7 shares
$-284INV $289 · WR 60.4%
C
Capital-Endoderm
Entry 4¢·3,000 shares
$-126INV $131 · WR 60.4%
C
CompulsiveGambler
Entry 12¢·1,058.2 shares
$-125INV $127 · WR 68.3%
C
Copezilla
Entry 0¢·24,992.5 shares
$-65INV $100 · WR 70.5%
B
benbenben233
Entry 16¢·593.6 shares
$-97INV $98 · WR 67.6%
M
Metusalem
Entry 1¢·16,141.2 shares
$-62INV $86 · WR 64.4%
P
products
Entry 8¢·1,065.5 shares
$-80INV $82 · WR 86.6%
Showing top 10 of 89

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 32% YES: 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026